Trader consensus on FISA Section 702 reauthorization before its April 20, 2026 expiration tilts slightly toward Yes at 54.5%, reflecting intense last-minute pressure from intelligence officials, Joint Chiefs warnings of national security risks, and President Trump's calls for GOP unity amid House leadership's push for a clean 18-month extension. However, recent House procedural vote delays, opposition from reform advocates like Reps. Massie and Biggs demanding warrant requirements for U.S. person queries, and proposed amendments from figures like Rep. Himes create a razor-thin balance, echoing 2024's bruising debates. Passage hinges on imminent House floor vote outcomes and Senate action; GOP defections or successful amendments could sink it, while FISA Court certifications extending surveillance to 2027 mitigate some urgency.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiFISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
$17,449 Hac.
$17,449 Hac.
19 Nis 2026
$17,449 Hac.
$17,449 Hac.
19 Nis 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on FISA Section 702 reauthorization before its April 20, 2026 expiration tilts slightly toward Yes at 54.5%, reflecting intense last-minute pressure from intelligence officials, Joint Chiefs warnings of national security risks, and President Trump's calls for GOP unity amid House leadership's push for a clean 18-month extension. However, recent House procedural vote delays, opposition from reform advocates like Reps. Massie and Biggs demanding warrant requirements for U.S. person queries, and proposed amendments from figures like Rep. Himes create a razor-thin balance, echoing 2024's bruising debates. Passage hinges on imminent House floor vote outcomes and Senate action; GOP defections or successful amendments could sink it, while FISA Court certifications extending surveillance to 2027 mitigate some urgency.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 27, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
Hacim
$17,449Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 27, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on FISA Section 702 reauthorization before its April 20, 2026 expiration tilts slightly toward Yes at 54.5%, reflecting intense last-minute pressure from intelligence officials, Joint Chiefs warnings of national security risks, and President Trump's calls for GOP unity amid House leadership's push for a clean 18-month extension. However, recent House procedural vote delays, opposition from reform advocates like Reps. Massie and Biggs demanding warrant requirements for U.S. person queries, and proposed amendments from figures like Rep. Himes create a razor-thin balance, echoing 2024's bruising debates. Passage hinges on imminent House floor vote outcomes and Senate action; GOP defections or successful amendments could sink it, while FISA Court certifications extending surveillance to 2027 mitigate some urgency.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$17,449Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 27, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on FISA Section 702 reauthorization before its April 20, 2026 expiration tilts slightly toward Yes at 54.5%, reflecting intense last-minute pressure from intelligence officials, Joint Chiefs warnings of national security risks, and President Trump's calls for GOP unity amid House leadership's push for a clean 18-month extension. However, recent House procedural vote delays, opposition from reform advocates like Reps. Massie and Biggs demanding warrant requirements for U.S. person queries, and proposed amendments from figures like Rep. Himes create a razor-thin balance, echoing 2024's bruising debates. Passage hinges on imminent House floor vote outcomes and Senate action; GOP defections or successful amendments could sink it, while FISA Court certifications extending surveillance to 2027 mitigate some urgency.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular