Former U.S. House Rep. Mary Peltola holds a trader consensus edge at 65.5% implied probability in the 2026 Alaska Senate race against incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan's 33.5%, driven by recent Alaska Survey Research polling from late March showing her leading 52%-48% in the final ranked-choice voting round after a nine-point swing in her favor since last summer. Peltola's blockbuster Q1 fundraising haul of $8.9 million—quadrupling Sullivan's $2.1 million and setting an Alaska Senate record—bolsters her position ahead of the August nonpartisan top-four primary and November general election under Alaska's ranked-choice system. Sullivan benefits from incumbency and $7.5 million cash on hand, but faces criticism on health care costs amid Peltola's attacks on political elites; minor candidates trail with negligible support as the contest remains competitive in this Trump-won state.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiAlaska Senatosu Seçimlerinin Kazananı
Alaska Senatosu Seçimlerinin Kazananı
Mary Peltola 66%
Dan Sullivan 34%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$301,381 Hac.
$301,381 Hac.
Mary Peltola
66%
Dan Sullivan
34%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
Richard Grayson
<1%
Mary Peltola 66%
Dan Sullivan 34%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$301,381 Hac.
$301,381 Hac.
Mary Peltola
66%
Dan Sullivan
34%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
Richard Grayson
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Piyasa Açıldı: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former U.S. House Rep. Mary Peltola holds a trader consensus edge at 65.5% implied probability in the 2026 Alaska Senate race against incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan's 33.5%, driven by recent Alaska Survey Research polling from late March showing her leading 52%-48% in the final ranked-choice voting round after a nine-point swing in her favor since last summer. Peltola's blockbuster Q1 fundraising haul of $8.9 million—quadrupling Sullivan's $2.1 million and setting an Alaska Senate record—bolsters her position ahead of the August nonpartisan top-four primary and November general election under Alaska's ranked-choice system. Sullivan benefits from incumbency and $7.5 million cash on hand, but faces criticism on health care costs amid Peltola's attacks on political elites; minor candidates trail with negligible support as the contest remains competitive in this Trump-won state.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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