In the open Alaska gubernatorial race triggered by incumbent Gov. Mike Dunleavy's term limit, trader consensus favors Republican Bernadette Wilson (30.5%) slightly ahead of Democrat Tom Begich (25.5%) for the outright win, with ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor (14.5%) and Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (11.9%) close behind in the crowded nonpartisan top-four primary set for August 18. A late-March Alaska Survey Research poll of likely voters showed Begich leading primary support at 19.4% over Wilson's 13.6%, but her commanding win in a March 29 Kenai Republican straw poll and six-figure early fundraising haul (reported February 18) have driven her market edge, reflecting GOP base enthusiasm amid vote-splitting risks. The race stays tight due to Alaska's ranked-choice general election dynamics; further polls, candidate forums like the early March Outdoor Council debate, key endorsements, or field consolidation could tip probabilities before summer.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiAlaska Valisi Seçimlerinin Kazananı
Alaska Valisi Seçimlerinin Kazananı
Bernadette Wilson 31%
Tom Begich 26%
Treg Taylor 14.5%
Nancy Dahlstrom 12.2%
$822,204 Hac.
$822,204 Hac.

Bernadette Wilson
31%

Tom Begich
26%

Treg Taylor
15%

Nancy Dahlstrom
12%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
4%

David Bronson
3%

Click Bishop
2%

Matt Claman
1%

Adam Crum
<1%

Lisa Murkowski
<1%

Mary Peltola
<1%

Edna DeVries
<1%

Shelley Hughes
<1%

Hank Kroll
<1%

Matt Heilala
<1%

James Parkin
<1%

Bruce Walden
<1%
Bernadette Wilson 31%
Tom Begich 26%
Treg Taylor 14.5%
Nancy Dahlstrom 12.2%
$822,204 Hac.
$822,204 Hac.

Bernadette Wilson
31%

Tom Begich
26%

Treg Taylor
15%

Nancy Dahlstrom
12%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
4%

David Bronson
3%

Click Bishop
2%

Matt Claman
1%

Adam Crum
<1%

Lisa Murkowski
<1%

Mary Peltola
<1%

Edna DeVries
<1%

Shelley Hughes
<1%

Hank Kroll
<1%

Matt Heilala
<1%

James Parkin
<1%

Bruce Walden
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Piyasa Açıldı: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the open Alaska gubernatorial race triggered by incumbent Gov. Mike Dunleavy's term limit, trader consensus favors Republican Bernadette Wilson (30.5%) slightly ahead of Democrat Tom Begich (25.5%) for the outright win, with ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor (14.5%) and Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (11.9%) close behind in the crowded nonpartisan top-four primary set for August 18. A late-March Alaska Survey Research poll of likely voters showed Begich leading primary support at 19.4% over Wilson's 13.6%, but her commanding win in a March 29 Kenai Republican straw poll and six-figure early fundraising haul (reported February 18) have driven her market edge, reflecting GOP base enthusiasm amid vote-splitting risks. The race stays tight due to Alaska's ranked-choice general election dynamics; further polls, candidate forums like the early March Outdoor Council debate, key endorsements, or field consolidation could tip probabilities before summer.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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