In the wide-open NJ-12 Democratic primary to succeed retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, trader consensus favors East Brunswick Mayor Brad Cohen at 31.5% implied probability, boosted by his dominant March 11 Middlesex County Democratic endorsement in a district-spanning county and early fundraising lead. Progressive activist Susan Altman holds 21% after surviving petition challenges on March 31 to secure ballot access, while Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson sits at 20.5% on $214,000 total raised through Q1. Mayors like Plainfield's Adrian Mapp (Union-endorsed) and doctor Adam Hamawy trail amid fragmented support. Key differentiators include county lines, executive experience, and fundraising; consolidation could follow the April 26 debate or Mercer County endorsement, with the June 2 primary testing turnout in swing areas.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiNJ -12 Demokratik Birincil Kazanan
NJ -12 Demokratik Birincil Kazanan
Brad Cohen 27%
Adam Hamawy 24%
Susan Altman 21%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 20%
$25,831 Hac.
$25,831 Hac.
Brad Cohen
31%
Adam Hamawy
17%
Susan Altman
21%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson
20%
Adrian Mapp
12%
Elijah Dixon
11%
Matthew Adams
4%
Kyle Little
3%
Michael Anderson
3%
Raymond Heck
3%
Tennille R. McCoy
1%
Brad Cohen 27%
Adam Hamawy 24%
Susan Altman 21%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 20%
$25,831 Hac.
$25,831 Hac.
Brad Cohen
31%
Adam Hamawy
17%
Susan Altman
21%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson
20%
Adrian Mapp
12%
Elijah Dixon
11%
Matthew Adams
4%
Kyle Little
3%
Michael Anderson
3%
Raymond Heck
3%
Tennille R. McCoy
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the wide-open NJ-12 Democratic primary to succeed retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, trader consensus favors East Brunswick Mayor Brad Cohen at 31.5% implied probability, boosted by his dominant March 11 Middlesex County Democratic endorsement in a district-spanning county and early fundraising lead. Progressive activist Susan Altman holds 21% after surviving petition challenges on March 31 to secure ballot access, while Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson sits at 20.5% on $214,000 total raised through Q1. Mayors like Plainfield's Adrian Mapp (Union-endorsed) and doctor Adam Hamawy trail amid fragmented support. Key differentiators include county lines, executive experience, and fundraising; consolidation could follow the April 26 debate or Mercer County endorsement, with the June 2 primary testing turnout in swing areas.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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