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CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

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Seçimler·Ara Sınavlar

CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Luke Bronin 47%

John Larson 23%

Jillian Gilchrest 4.7%

Ruth Fortune 4.3%

Polymarket
YENİ

Luke Bronin 47%

John Larson 23%

Jillian Gilchrest 4.7%

Ruth Fortune 4.3%

Polymarket
YENİ

Luke Bronin

$2,810 Hac.

47%

John Larson

$551 Hac.

34%

Jillian Gilchrest

$0 Hac.

5%

Ruth Fortune

$715 Hac.

4%

Mark Stewart Greenstein

$1,379 Hac.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin leads trader consensus at 47% implied probability in the Connecticut's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary, driven by his sustained fundraising edge over incumbent Rep. John Larson—outraising the 77-year-old 15-term congressman for multiple quarters—and a new TV ad launched April 13 emphasizing generational change amid calls from outside groups for fresh leadership. Larson's 33.5% reflects his internal March poll showing a strong lead, bolstered by endorsements like House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries' February visit, incumbency advantages, and seniority appeals. State Rep. Jillian Gilchrest trails at 4.7% on local name recognition, with Ruth Fortune and Mark Stewart Greenstein lower amid a crowded field; the August 11 primary remains closely contested with turnout and endorsements pivotal.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$5,455
Bitiş Tarihi
11 Ağu 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin leads trader consensus at 47% implied probability in the Connecticut's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary, driven by his sustained fundraising edge over incumbent Rep. John Larson—outraising the 77-year-old 15-term congressman for multiple quarters—and a new TV ad launched April 13 emphasizing generational change amid calls from outside groups for fresh leadership. Larson's 33.5% reflects his internal March poll showing a strong lead, bolstered by endorsements like House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries' February visit, incumbency advantages, and seniority appeals. State Rep. Jillian Gilchrest trails at 4.7% on local name recognition, with Ruth Fortune and Mark Stewart Greenstein lower amid a crowded field; the August 11 primary remains closely contested with turnout and endorsements pivotal.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$5,455
Bitiş Tarihi
11 Ağu 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 5 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 47% ile "Luke Bronin", ardından 34% ile "John Larson" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 47¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 47% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

"CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" Polymarket'te yeni oluşturulmuş bir piyasadır, Feb 26, 2026 tarihinde açıldı. Erken bir piyasa olarak, ilk yatırımcılar arasında yer alarak oranları belirleme ve piyasanın ilk fiyat sinyallerini oluşturma fırsatına sahipsiniz. Ayrıca piyasa zaman içinde ilgi kazandıkça hacmi ve işlem aktivitesini takip etmek için bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyebilirsiniz.

"CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 5 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" için mevcut favori 47% ile "Luke Bronin"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 47% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 34% ile "John Larson"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.