The open seat in Michigan's 11th Congressional District, vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens' (D) bid for U.S. Senate following her announcement last year, drives trader consensus heavily toward Democrats at 92.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's D+9 partisan voter index and recent election margins exceeding 58% for Democratic victors in 2022 and 2024. A crowded Democratic primary on August 4 features well-funded contenders like state Sen. Jeremy Moss, backed by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and leading in fundraising at over $510,000 cash on hand, while Republicans field lesser-known candidates with minimal resources. Scenarios challenging this include a standout GOP nominee emerging post-primary, a divisive Democratic primary bruising the winner, or a national Republican midterm wave amid Michigan's battleground status.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiMI -11 Ev Seçimi Kazananı
MI -11 Ev Seçimi Kazananı
$41,230 Hac.
$41,230 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Demokrat Parti
93%
Cumhuriyetçi Parti
7%
$41,230 Hac.
$41,230 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Demokrat Parti
$36,702 Hac.
93%
Cumhuriyetçi Parti
$4,529 Hac.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Michigan's 11th Congressional District, vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens' (D) bid for U.S. Senate following her announcement last year, drives trader consensus heavily toward Democrats at 92.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's D+9 partisan voter index and recent election margins exceeding 58% for Democratic victors in 2022 and 2024. A crowded Democratic primary on August 4 features well-funded contenders like state Sen. Jeremy Moss, backed by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and leading in fundraising at over $510,000 cash on hand, while Republicans field lesser-known candidates with minimal resources. Scenarios challenging this include a standout GOP nominee emerging post-primary, a divisive Democratic primary bruising the winner, or a national Republican midterm wave amid Michigan's battleground status.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Hacim
$41,230Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Michigan's 11th Congressional District, vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens' (D) bid for U.S. Senate following her announcement last year, drives trader consensus heavily toward Democrats at 92.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's D+9 partisan voter index and recent election margins exceeding 58% for Democratic victors in 2022 and 2024. A crowded Democratic primary on August 4 features well-funded contenders like state Sen. Jeremy Moss, backed by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and leading in fundraising at over $510,000 cash on hand, while Republicans field lesser-known candidates with minimal resources. Scenarios challenging this include a standout GOP nominee emerging post-primary, a divisive Democratic primary bruising the winner, or a national Republican midterm wave amid Michigan's battleground status.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Hacim
$41,230Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Michigan's 11th Congressional District, vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens' (D) bid for U.S. Senate following her announcement last year, drives trader consensus heavily toward Democrats at 92.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's D+9 partisan voter index and recent election margins exceeding 58% for Democratic victors in 2022 and 2024. A crowded Democratic primary on August 4 features well-funded contenders like state Sen. Jeremy Moss, backed by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and leading in fundraising at over $510,000 cash on hand, while Republicans field lesser-known candidates with minimal resources. Scenarios challenging this include a standout GOP nominee emerging post-primary, a divisive Democratic primary bruising the winner, or a national Republican midterm wave amid Michigan's battleground status.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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