In the lead-up to Bolivia's April 19 runoff for Santa Cruz governor, trader consensus heavily favors Juan Pablo Velasco of the Libre alliance at 80% implied probability, reflecting his 8.9-point lead over Otto Ritter of Santa Cruz para Todos in the latest Ipsos-CIESMORI poll for Unitel (43.6% to 34.7%, with 15% undecided). Velasco's edge stems from his narrow first-round plurality on March 22—29% to Ritter's 27% in a fragmented field that sidelined incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho—bolstered by momentum from President Rodrigo Paz's centrist allies and recent debates showcasing policy contrasts on economic growth and regional autonomy. Ritter trails amid voter consolidation toward Velasco, though undecideds and potential endorsements could narrow the gap before polls close.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiJuan Pablo Velasco 80.3%
Otto Ritter 15.6%
Juan Carlos Medrano <1%
Mauricio Quezada <1%
$799,096 Hac.
$799,096 Hac.
Juan Pablo Velasco
80%
Otto Ritter
16%
Juan Carlos Medrano
<1%
Mauricio Quezada
<1%
Chi Hyun Chung
<1%
Julio César Tórrez
<1%
Guido Eduardo Nayar
<1%
Miguel Cadima
<1%
Vladimir Peña
<1%
Luis Fernando Camacho
<1%
Juan Pablo Velasco 80.3%
Otto Ritter 15.6%
Juan Carlos Medrano <1%
Mauricio Quezada <1%
$799,096 Hac.
$799,096 Hac.
Juan Pablo Velasco
80%
Otto Ritter
16%
Juan Carlos Medrano
<1%
Mauricio Quezada
<1%
Chi Hyun Chung
<1%
Julio César Tórrez
<1%
Guido Eduardo Nayar
<1%
Miguel Cadima
<1%
Vladimir Peña
<1%
Luis Fernando Camacho
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 20, 2026, 11:20 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the lead-up to Bolivia's April 19 runoff for Santa Cruz governor, trader consensus heavily favors Juan Pablo Velasco of the Libre alliance at 80% implied probability, reflecting his 8.9-point lead over Otto Ritter of Santa Cruz para Todos in the latest Ipsos-CIESMORI poll for Unitel (43.6% to 34.7%, with 15% undecided). Velasco's edge stems from his narrow first-round plurality on March 22—29% to Ritter's 27% in a fragmented field that sidelined incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho—bolstered by momentum from President Rodrigo Paz's centrist allies and recent debates showcasing policy contrasts on economic growth and regional autonomy. Ritter trails amid voter consolidation toward Velasco, though undecideds and potential endorsements could narrow the gap before polls close.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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