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Ekonomi·Jerome Powell

2027 'den önce Fed Faizi ne olacak?

Market icon
Ekonomi·Jerome Powell

2027 'den önce Fed Faizi ne olacak?

$1,328,134 Hac.

31 Ara 2026
Polymarket

$1,328,134 Hac.

Polymarket

↑ %5,5

$43,854 Hac.

7%

↑ %5,25

$138,878 Hac.

5%

↑ %5,0

$11,637 Hac.

4%

↑ %4,75

$68,492 Hac.

6%

↑ %4,5

$13,790 Hac.

6%

↑ %4,25

$22,844 Hac.

9%

↓ %3,25

$56,281 Hac.

66%

↓ %3,0

$223,466 Hac.

25%

↓ %2,75

$265,518 Hac.

17%

↓ %2,5

$176,295 Hac.

13%

↓ %2,25

$23,035 Hac.

8%

↓ %2,0

$15,119 Hac.

9%

↓ %1,75

$7,388 Hac.

7%

↓ %1,5

$24,878 Hac.

7%

↓ %1,25

$899 Hac.

11%

↓ %1,0

$1,761 Hac.

7%

↓ %0,75

$388 Hac.

9%

↓ %0,5

$94,815 Hac.

4%

↓ %0,25

$119,043 Hac.

5%

↓ %0

$10,745 Hac.

4%

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices overwhelming odds for the federal funds rate target range to dip below current levels before year-end 2026, with 67% implied probability on hitting 3.25% and near-certainty on 3.5% already achieved via the lower bound of the 3.50%-3.75% range. This reflects the March FOMC's decision to hold steady amid reaccelerating March CPI at 3.3% year-over-year—driven by energy spikes—offset by labor market softening to 4.3% unemployment. The Fed's March dot plot projects a gradual path to around 3% by end-2027, aligning with CME FedWatch signaling potential 25-basis-point cuts later this year. Key catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and May 12 April CPI release, which could sway rate cut expectations amid persistent inflation risks.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Hacim
$1,328,134
Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices overwhelming odds for the federal funds rate target range to dip below current levels before year-end 2026, with 67% implied probability on hitting 3.25% and near-certainty on 3.5% already achieved via the lower bound of the 3.50%-3.75% range. This reflects the March FOMC's decision to hold steady amid reaccelerating March CPI at 3.3% year-over-year—driven by energy spikes—offset by labor market softening to 4.3% unemployment. The Fed's March dot plot projects a gradual path to around 3% by end-2027, aligning with CME FedWatch signaling potential 25-basis-point cuts later this year. Key catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and May 12 April CPI release, which could sway rate cut expectations amid persistent inflation risks.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Hacim
$1,328,134
Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"2027 'den önce Fed Faizi ne olacak?", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 21 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 100% ile "↓ %3,5", ardından 66% ile "↓ %3,25" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 100¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 100% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "2027 'den önce Fed Faizi ne olacak?" toplam $1.3 million işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Nov 18, 2025 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"2027 'den önce Fed Faizi ne olacak?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 21 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"2027 'den önce Fed Faizi ne olacak?" için mevcut favori 100% ile "↓ %3,5"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 100% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 66% ile "↓ %3,25"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"2027 'den önce Fed Faizi ne olacak?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.