Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 63.5% implied probability of exactly one FOMC dissent at the April 28-29, 2026 meeting, reflecting persistent policy fractures amid hotter March 2026 CPI inflation at 3.3% annually—up from February's 2.4%—and steady unemployment near 4.3%, bolstering the case for holding the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75%. The March 17-18 vote saw just one dissent from Governor Miran favoring a cut, below banks' expectations of three, as Chair Powell rallied support, yet recent minutes and speeches highlight lingering dovish pushes from Waller and others against hawkish patience. With the March dot plot eyeing one 2026 cut, traders see limited rebellion risk ahead of Powell's tenure end.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi1 63%
2 27%
3 6%
0 5.0%
$43,652 Hac.
$43,652 Hac.
0
5%
1
63%
2
27%
3
6%
4+
1%
1 63%
2 27%
3 6%
0 5.0%
$43,652 Hac.
$43,652 Hac.
0
5%
1
63%
2
27%
3
6%
4+
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 19, 2026, 8:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 63.5% implied probability of exactly one FOMC dissent at the April 28-29, 2026 meeting, reflecting persistent policy fractures amid hotter March 2026 CPI inflation at 3.3% annually—up from February's 2.4%—and steady unemployment near 4.3%, bolstering the case for holding the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75%. The March 17-18 vote saw just one dissent from Governor Miran favoring a cut, below banks' expectations of three, as Chair Powell rallied support, yet recent minutes and speeches highlight lingering dovish pushes from Waller and others against hawkish patience. With the March dot plot eyeing one 2026 cut, traders see limited rebellion risk ahead of Powell's tenure end.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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