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Kevin Warsh Fed Başkanı adaylığı 15 Mayıs'a kadar geri mi çekildi?

Market icon

Kevin Warsh Fed Başkanı adaylığı 15 Mayıs'a kadar geri mi çekildi?

3% olasılık
Polymarket

$86,377 Hac.

3% olasılık
Polymarket

$86,377 Hac.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count. If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. President Trump's January nomination of former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair, to succeed Jerome Powell whose term ends May 15, 2026, advanced this week with a Senate Banking Committee confirmation hearing scheduled for April 21, bolstering trader consensus against withdrawal by the deadline. Despite a prior hearing delay and Sen. Thom Tillis's hold linking approval to a DOJ probe into Powell's Fed renovations, recent financial disclosures exceeding $130 million in assets—including crypto stakes—cleared procedural hurdles, and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expressed confidence in confirmation. No White House signals of retreat amid Trump's defense of the pick and threats to remove Powell persist, though a poor hearing or escalating opposition could prompt reversal before resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.

If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$86,377
Bitiş Tarihi
15 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 5, 2026, 5:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count. If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count. If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. President Trump's January nomination of former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair, to succeed Jerome Powell whose term ends May 15, 2026, advanced this week with a Senate Banking Committee confirmation hearing scheduled for April 21, bolstering trader consensus against withdrawal by the deadline. Despite a prior hearing delay and Sen. Thom Tillis's hold linking approval to a DOJ probe into Powell's Fed renovations, recent financial disclosures exceeding $130 million in assets—including crypto stakes—cleared procedural hurdles, and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expressed confidence in confirmation. No White House signals of retreat amid Trump's defense of the pick and threats to remove Powell persist, though a poor hearing or escalating opposition could prompt reversal before resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.

If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$86,377
Bitiş Tarihi
15 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 5, 2026, 5:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count. If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Kevin Warsh Fed Başkanı adaylığı 15 Mayıs'a kadar geri mi çekildi?", yatırımcıların bu olayın gerçekleşip gerçekleşmeyeceğine inançlarına göre "Evet" veya "Hayır" hisseleri alıp sattığı Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut kitle kaynaklı olasılık "Yes" için 3%'dir. Örneğin, "Evet" 3¢ fiyatındaysa, piyasa toplu olarak bu olayın gerçekleşme olasılığını 3% olarak belirler. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Kevin Warsh Fed Başkanı adaylığı 15 Mayıs'a kadar geri mi çekildi?" toplam $86.4K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Mar 5, 2026 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Kevin Warsh Fed Başkanı adaylığı 15 Mayıs'a kadar geri mi çekildi?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için cevabın "Evet" mi yoksa "Hayır" mı olacağına inandığınızı seçin. Her tarafın piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını yansıtan bir güncel fiyatı vardır. Miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. "Evet" hisseleri satın alırsanız ve sonuç "Evet" olarak çözümlenirse, her hisse 1$ öder. "Hayır" olarak çözümlenirse, "Evet" hisseleriniz 0$ öder. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Kevin Warsh Fed Başkanı adaylığı 15 Mayıs'a kadar geri mi çekildi?" için mevcut olasılık "Yes" için 3%'dir. Bu, Polymarket topluluğunun şu anda bu olayın gerçekleşme olasılığını 3% olarak gördüğü anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar gerçek işlemlere dayalı olarak gerçek zamanlı güncellenir ve piyasanın ne olmasını beklediğine dair sürekli güncellenen bir sinyal sağlar.

"Kevin Warsh Fed Başkanı adaylığı 15 Mayıs'a kadar geri mi çekildi?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.