Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price a 91% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, driven by resilient U.S. economic data and heightened inflation risks. The March FOMC held the federal funds target at 3.5%-3.75%, with minutes revealing openness to hikes amid war-related oil shocks elevating CPI pressures, while nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs and unemployment held steady at 4.3%. Solid growth and sticky inflation negate crisis conditions historically prompting unscheduled cuts, aligning with CME FedWatch paths for modest scheduled easing to around 3.25%-3.4% by year-end. Realistic challenges include sudden banking stress or geopolitical escalation sparking recessionary forces, ahead of the April 28-29 FOMC meeting.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEvet
$100,356 Hac.
$100,356 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
Evet
$100,356 Hac.
$100,356 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price a 91% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, driven by resilient U.S. economic data and heightened inflation risks. The March FOMC held the federal funds target at 3.5%-3.75%, with minutes revealing openness to hikes amid war-related oil shocks elevating CPI pressures, while nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs and unemployment held steady at 4.3%. Solid growth and sticky inflation negate crisis conditions historically prompting unscheduled cuts, aligning with CME FedWatch paths for modest scheduled easing to around 3.25%-3.4% by year-end. Realistic challenges include sudden banking stress or geopolitical escalation sparking recessionary forces, ahead of the April 28-29 FOMC meeting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Hacim
$100,356Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price a 91% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, driven by resilient U.S. economic data and heightened inflation risks. The March FOMC held the federal funds target at 3.5%-3.75%, with minutes revealing openness to hikes amid war-related oil shocks elevating CPI pressures, while nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs and unemployment held steady at 4.3%. Solid growth and sticky inflation negate crisis conditions historically prompting unscheduled cuts, aligning with CME FedWatch paths for modest scheduled easing to around 3.25%-3.4% by year-end. Realistic challenges include sudden banking stress or geopolitical escalation sparking recessionary forces, ahead of the April 28-29 FOMC meeting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Hacim
$100,356Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price a 91% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, driven by resilient U.S. economic data and heightened inflation risks. The March FOMC held the federal funds target at 3.5%-3.75%, with minutes revealing openness to hikes amid war-related oil shocks elevating CPI pressures, while nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs and unemployment held steady at 4.3%. Solid growth and sticky inflation negate crisis conditions historically prompting unscheduled cuts, aligning with CME FedWatch paths for modest scheduled easing to around 3.25%-3.4% by year-end. Realistic challenges include sudden banking stress or geopolitical escalation sparking recessionary forces, ahead of the April 28-29 FOMC meeting.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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