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Finans·SPX

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 16?

Market icon
Finans·SPX

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 16?

16:00

16:00

Up

62% olasılık
Polymarket
YENİ

Up

62% olasılık
Polymarket
YENİ
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, April 16, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, April 16, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, April 16, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, April 16, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.

If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices".

US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks
EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea
ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Hacim
$5,680
Bitiş Tarihi
16 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 15, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Çözümleme Kaynağı

https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, April 16, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, April 16, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, April 16, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, April 16, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, April 16, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, April 16, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.

If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices".

US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks
EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea
ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Hacim
$5,786
Bitiş Tarihi
16 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 15, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Çözümleme Kaynağı

https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, April 16, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, April 16, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 16?", Polymarket’te yatırımcıların S&P 500 fiyatının başlıktaki günlük penceresi boyunca açılış fiyatının üstünde ("Yukarı") mi yoksa altında ("Aşağı") mı kapanacağına dair hisse alıp sattığı bir günlük tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut piyasa olasılığı "Up" için 62%’dır. 62%’lik bir fiyat, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 62% şans verdiği anlamına gelir. Yatırımcılar canlı S&P 500 fiyat hareketlerine tepki verdikçe fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı güncellenir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler, piyasa çözümlendiğinde her biri 1$ karşılığında kullanılabilir.

"S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 16?", Polymarket’te aktif bir kısa vadeli piyasadır. günlük penceresi ilerledikçe işlem hacmi hızla birikebilir — bu pencere kapanmadan oranları belirlemeye yardımcı olmak için erken katılın.

"S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 16?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için S&P 500 fiyatının April 16 tarihinde öğlen ET’de April 16 tarihindeki öğlen ET fiyatından daha yüksek ("Yukarı") mi yoksa daha düşük ("Aşağı") mü olacağına karar verin. Fiyatın günden güne yükseleceğini düşünüyorsanız "Yukarı", düşeceğini düşünüyorsanız "Aşağı" satın alın. Tutarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Seçtiğiniz sonuç çözümlemede doğruysa, her hisse 1,00$ öder. Yanlışsa hisseler 0$ değerinde olur.

"S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 16?" için mevcut olasılık "Up" için 62%’dır, yani Polymarket topluluğu şu anda S&P 500 fiyatının bu günlük penceresi boyunca up kapanma olasılığını 62% olarak değerlendirmektedir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar canlı S&P 500 fiyat verilerine tepki verdikçe gerçek zamanlı güncellenir. Tam bir gün boyunca, günün fiyat hareketi açıldıkça oranlar değişen duyarlılığı yansıtır. Sık sık kontrol edin veya pencere kapanmadan şimdi işlem yapın.

"S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 16?" piyasası, Binance SPX/USDT 1 dakikalık mum kapanış fiyatları kullanılarak S&P 500 fiyatının April 16 tarihinde öğlen ET’de ve April 16 tarihinde öğlen ET’deki fiyatının karşılaştırılmasına göre çözümlenir. April 16 öğlen fiyatı daha yüksekse sonuç "Yukarı"; daha düşükse "Aşağı"; eşitse piyasa 50-50 çözümlenir. Tam çözümleme kriterlerini ve veri kaynağını bu sayfadaki "Kurallar" bölümünden inceleyebilirsiniz.