President Trump's April 15 threat to fire Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors if he does not vacate the seat after his chair term expires on May 15 has intensified trader focus on Fed leadership transition risks. Powell's underlying governor term extends to 2028, but he faces political pressure amid a stalled DOJ probe—recently hobbled by quashed subpoenas—and Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as successor, whose Senate confirmation hearing is slated for next week. Polymarket traders price a strong consensus for Powell's exit by year-end, reflecting doubts over his tenure amid policy clashes on interest rates and Fed independence, with the May deadline looming as a key catalyst for monetary policy uncertainty.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$132,882 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
30 Mayıs
31%
31 Aralık
67%
$132,882 Hac.
30 Mayıs
$79,289 Hac.
31%
31 Aralık
$53,593 Hac.
67%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Trump's April 15 threat to fire Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors if he does not vacate the seat after his chair term expires on May 15 has intensified trader focus on Fed leadership transition risks. Powell's underlying governor term extends to 2028, but he faces political pressure amid a stalled DOJ probe—recently hobbled by quashed subpoenas—and Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as successor, whose Senate confirmation hearing is slated for next week. Polymarket traders price a strong consensus for Powell's exit by year-end, reflecting doubts over his tenure amid policy clashes on interest rates and Fed independence, with the May deadline looming as a key catalyst for monetary policy uncertainty.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Hacim
$132,882Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Trump's April 15 threat to fire Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors if he does not vacate the seat after his chair term expires on May 15 has intensified trader focus on Fed leadership transition risks. Powell's underlying governor term extends to 2028, but he faces political pressure amid a stalled DOJ probe—recently hobbled by quashed subpoenas—and Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as successor, whose Senate confirmation hearing is slated for next week. Polymarket traders price a strong consensus for Powell's exit by year-end, reflecting doubts over his tenure amid policy clashes on interest rates and Fed independence, with the May deadline looming as a key catalyst for monetary policy uncertainty.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Hacim
$132,882Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's April 15 threat to fire Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors if he does not vacate the seat after his chair term expires on May 15 has intensified trader focus on Fed leadership transition risks. Powell's underlying governor term extends to 2028, but he faces political pressure amid a stalled DOJ probe—recently hobbled by quashed subpoenas—and Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as successor, whose Senate confirmation hearing is slated for next week. Polymarket traders price a strong consensus for Powell's exit by year-end, reflecting doubts over his tenure amid policy clashes on interest rates and Fed independence, with the May deadline looming as a key catalyst for monetary policy uncertainty.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular