The 10-year Treasury yield stands near 4.30% as of April 13, 2026, reflecting trader consensus on stickier inflation after March CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—driven by energy spikes and core PCE at 2.8% in February. This has curbed Federal Reserve easing expectations, with the March 18 dot plot forecasting fed funds at a median 3.4% by year-end 2026 and low-3% range into 2027, implying just one cut each year amid resilient labor markets. Surging fiscal deficits, totaling $1.17 trillion through early FY2026 with $1.9 trillion projected annually, elevate Treasury supply and term premiums. Key catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and May 12 April CPI release, which could test upside if disinflation falters.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi10 yıllık Hazine getirisi 2027 'den önce ne kadar yükselecek?
10 yıllık Hazine getirisi 2027 'den önce ne kadar yükselecek?
$186,616 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
%4,5
75%
%4,6
56%
%4,8
31%
%5,0
15%
%5,2
10%
%5,5
13%
%5,7
6%
%6,0
4%
$186,616 Hac.
%4,5
$27,194 Hac.
75%
%4,6
$34,761 Hac.
56%
%4,8
$44,996 Hac.
31%
%5,0
$38,447 Hac.
15%
%5,2
$8,237 Hac.
10%
%5,5
$1,143 Hac.
13%
%5,7
$2,884 Hac.
6%
%6,0
$1,987 Hac.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield stands near 4.30% as of April 13, 2026, reflecting trader consensus on stickier inflation after March CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—driven by energy spikes and core PCE at 2.8% in February. This has curbed Federal Reserve easing expectations, with the March 18 dot plot forecasting fed funds at a median 3.4% by year-end 2026 and low-3% range into 2027, implying just one cut each year amid resilient labor markets. Surging fiscal deficits, totaling $1.17 trillion through early FY2026 with $1.9 trillion projected annually, elevate Treasury supply and term premiums. Key catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and May 12 April CPI release, which could test upside if disinflation falters.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Piyasa Açıldı: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Hacim
$186,616Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield stands near 4.30% as of April 13, 2026, reflecting trader consensus on stickier inflation after March CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—driven by energy spikes and core PCE at 2.8% in February. This has curbed Federal Reserve easing expectations, with the March 18 dot plot forecasting fed funds at a median 3.4% by year-end 2026 and low-3% range into 2027, implying just one cut each year amid resilient labor markets. Surging fiscal deficits, totaling $1.17 trillion through early FY2026 with $1.9 trillion projected annually, elevate Treasury supply and term premiums. Key catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and May 12 April CPI release, which could test upside if disinflation falters.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Hacim
$186,616Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield stands near 4.30% as of April 13, 2026, reflecting trader consensus on stickier inflation after March CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—driven by energy spikes and core PCE at 2.8% in February. This has curbed Federal Reserve easing expectations, with the March 18 dot plot forecasting fed funds at a median 3.4% by year-end 2026 and low-3% range into 2027, implying just one cut each year amid resilient labor markets. Surging fiscal deficits, totaling $1.17 trillion through early FY2026 with $1.9 trillion projected annually, elevate Treasury supply and term premiums. Key catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and May 12 April CPI release, which could test upside if disinflation falters.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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