Polymarket traders assign a 46.5% implied probability to China's 2026 annual CPI falling in the 0.6–1.0% range, reflecting softer-than-expected March consumer price inflation at 1.0% year-over-year—down from February's 1.3% peak and below the 1.2% consensus forecast—alongside a first-quarter average of 0.9%. This trader consensus aligns with institutional projections like the Asian Development Bank's 0.6% headline estimate and Bank of America's 1.0% outlook, driven by persistent weak domestic demand, property sector headwinds, and overcapacity despite Q1 GDP growth of 5%. Producer prices turned positive at 0.5% in March on energy cost surges from the Iran conflict, but core CPI remains subdued below the 2% target. The People's Bank of China signals continued moderately loose monetary policy with room for reserve requirement ratio cuts, tempering upside inflation risks ahead of April data releases.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiÇin Yıllık Enflasyon 2026
Çin Yıllık Enflasyon 2026
%0,6 – %1,0 45%
%1,1 – %1,5 22%
%0,1 – %0,5 15%
%2,5+ 9.3%
$32,594 Hac.
$32,594 Hac.
10 Oca 2027
<-1,0%
4%
%-0,9 – %-0,5
4%
-0,4 – 0,0%
1%
%0,1 – %0,5
15%
%0,6 – %1,0
45%
%1,1 – %1,5
22%
%1,6 – %2,0
7%
%2,0-%2,4
6%
%2,5+
9%
%0,6 – %1,0 45%
%1,1 – %1,5 22%
%0,1 – %0,5 15%
%2,5+ 9.3%
$32,594 Hac.
$32,594 Hac.
10 Oca 2027
<-1,0%
$16,917 Hac.
4%
%-0,9 – %-0,5
$1,787 Hac.
4%
-0,4 – 0,0%
$1,832 Hac.
1%
%0,1 – %0,5
$1,868 Hac.
15%
%0,6 – %1,0
$2,024 Hac.
45%
%1,1 – %1,5
$2,348 Hac.
22%
%1,6 – %2,0
$2,544 Hac.
7%
%2,0-%2,4
$1,669 Hac.
6%
%2,5+
$1,604 Hac.
9%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Polymarket traders assign a 46.5% implied probability to China's 2026 annual CPI falling in the 0.6–1.0% range, reflecting softer-than-expected March consumer price inflation at 1.0% year-over-year—down from February's 1.3% peak and below the 1.2% consensus forecast—alongside a first-quarter average of 0.9%. This trader consensus aligns with institutional projections like the Asian Development Bank's 0.6% headline estimate and Bank of America's 1.0% outlook, driven by persistent weak domestic demand, property sector headwinds, and overcapacity despite Q1 GDP growth of 5%. Producer prices turned positive at 0.5% in March on energy cost surges from the Iran conflict, but core CPI remains subdued below the 2% target. The People's Bank of China signals continued moderately loose monetary policy with room for reserve requirement ratio cuts, tempering upside inflation risks ahead of April data releases.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Hacim
$32,594Bitiş Tarihi
10 Oca 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Polymarket traders assign a 46.5% implied probability to China's 2026 annual CPI falling in the 0.6–1.0% range, reflecting softer-than-expected March consumer price inflation at 1.0% year-over-year—down from February's 1.3% peak and below the 1.2% consensus forecast—alongside a first-quarter average of 0.9%. This trader consensus aligns with institutional projections like the Asian Development Bank's 0.6% headline estimate and Bank of America's 1.0% outlook, driven by persistent weak domestic demand, property sector headwinds, and overcapacity despite Q1 GDP growth of 5%. Producer prices turned positive at 0.5% in March on energy cost surges from the Iran conflict, but core CPI remains subdued below the 2% target. The People's Bank of China signals continued moderately loose monetary policy with room for reserve requirement ratio cuts, tempering upside inflation risks ahead of April data releases.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Hacim
$32,594Bitiş Tarihi
10 Oca 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders assign a 46.5% implied probability to China's 2026 annual CPI falling in the 0.6–1.0% range, reflecting softer-than-expected March consumer price inflation at 1.0% year-over-year—down from February's 1.3% peak and below the 1.2% consensus forecast—alongside a first-quarter average of 0.9%. This trader consensus aligns with institutional projections like the Asian Development Bank's 0.6% headline estimate and Bank of America's 1.0% outlook, driven by persistent weak domestic demand, property sector headwinds, and overcapacity despite Q1 GDP growth of 5%. Producer prices turned positive at 0.5% in March on energy cost surges from the Iran conflict, but core CPI remains subdued below the 2% target. The People's Bank of China signals continued moderately loose monetary policy with room for reserve requirement ratio cuts, tempering upside inflation risks ahead of April data releases.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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