Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, have priced a fragmented consensus for Argentina's 2026 annual CPI inflation around 25-40%, with the 30.0-34.9% band leading at 22.1% implied probability amid closely contested outcomes signaling high uncertainty. March 2026's hotter-than-expected 3.4% monthly print—the year's highest, pushing Q1 cumulative to 9.4%—drove sentiment higher, fueled by regulated price surges in education (12.1%) and fuel, offsetting Milei's fiscal surplus and disinflation gains that closed 2025 at a seven-year low of 31.5%. Divergent forecasts (BBVA at 22%, Reuters median 30%) highlight risks from index backlash, growth stagnation, and policy execution; April CPI and Economy Minister Caputo's IMF talks loom as pivotal catalysts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi30.0-34.9% 19.8%
25-29.9% 15%
35–39.9% 14.5%
<20% 13.6%
YENİ
YENİ
10 Oca 2027
<20%
8%
20-24.9%
14%
25-29.9%
15%
30.0-34.9%
22%
35–39.9%
15%
40-44.9%
13%
45%+
6%
30.0-34.9% 19.8%
25-29.9% 15%
35–39.9% 14.5%
<20% 13.6%
YENİ
YENİ
10 Oca 2027
<20%
$2,404 Hac.
8%
20-24.9%
$1,331 Hac.
14%
25-29.9%
$1,086 Hac.
15%
30.0-34.9%
$809 Hac.
22%
35–39.9%
$780 Hac.
15%
40-44.9%
$884 Hac.
13%
45%+
$985 Hac.
6%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, have priced a fragmented consensus for Argentina's 2026 annual CPI inflation around 25-40%, with the 30.0-34.9% band leading at 22.1% implied probability amid closely contested outcomes signaling high uncertainty. March 2026's hotter-than-expected 3.4% monthly print—the year's highest, pushing Q1 cumulative to 9.4%—drove sentiment higher, fueled by regulated price surges in education (12.1%) and fuel, offsetting Milei's fiscal surplus and disinflation gains that closed 2025 at a seven-year low of 31.5%. Divergent forecasts (BBVA at 22%, Reuters median 30%) highlight risks from index backlash, growth stagnation, and policy execution; April CPI and Economy Minister Caputo's IMF talks loom as pivotal catalysts.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Hacim
$8,279Bitiş Tarihi
10 Oca 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, have priced a fragmented consensus for Argentina's 2026 annual CPI inflation around 25-40%, with the 30.0-34.9% band leading at 22.1% implied probability amid closely contested outcomes signaling high uncertainty. March 2026's hotter-than-expected 3.4% monthly print—the year's highest, pushing Q1 cumulative to 9.4%—drove sentiment higher, fueled by regulated price surges in education (12.1%) and fuel, offsetting Milei's fiscal surplus and disinflation gains that closed 2025 at a seven-year low of 31.5%. Divergent forecasts (BBVA at 22%, Reuters median 30%) highlight risks from index backlash, growth stagnation, and policy execution; April CPI and Economy Minister Caputo's IMF talks loom as pivotal catalysts.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Hacim
$8,279Bitiş Tarihi
10 Oca 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, have priced a fragmented consensus for Argentina's 2026 annual CPI inflation around 25-40%, with the 30.0-34.9% band leading at 22.1% implied probability amid closely contested outcomes signaling high uncertainty. March 2026's hotter-than-expected 3.4% monthly print—the year's highest, pushing Q1 cumulative to 9.4%—drove sentiment higher, fueled by regulated price surges in education (12.1%) and fuel, offsetting Milei's fiscal surplus and disinflation gains that closed 2025 at a seven-year low of 31.5%. Divergent forecasts (BBVA at 22%, Reuters median 30%) highlight risks from index backlash, growth stagnation, and policy execution; April CPI and Economy Minister Caputo's IMF talks loom as pivotal catalysts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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