Trader sentiment on U.K. annual CPI inflation for 2026 reflects heightened uncertainty from Middle East conflict escalation, particularly the U.S.-Israel-Iran war, which has spiked oil and gas prices, derailing prior expectations of a swift return to the Bank of England's 2% target. February 2026 CPI held steady at 3.0%, with services inflation persistent at around 4.3%, prompting the BoE to maintain Bank Rate at 3.75% on March 19 amid revised near-term forecasts of 3–3.5%. Polymarket-implied probabilities cluster above 3.5%, with 4.5%+ (40%) edging 3.5–3.9% (31.5%) due to risks of prolonged energy shocks versus potential de-escalation; key swing factors include March CPI data due imminently, May BoE meeting, and Brent crude trajectory above $100/barrel.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiU.K. Annual Inflation 2026
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
4.5%+ 34%
3.5–3.9% 30%
4.0-4.4% 18%
2.5–2.9% 16%
YENİ
YENİ
20 Oca 2027
<1.0%
3%
1.0–1.4%
5%
1.5–1.9%
11%
2.0–2.4%
5%
2.5–2.9%
16%
3.5–3.9%
30%
4.0-4.4%
23%
4.5%+
44%
4.5%+ 34%
3.5–3.9% 30%
4.0-4.4% 18%
2.5–2.9% 16%
YENİ
YENİ
20 Oca 2027
<1.0%
$601 Hac.
3%
1.0–1.4%
$325 Hac.
5%
1.5–1.9%
$478 Hac.
11%
2.0–2.4%
$305 Hac.
5%
2.5–2.9%
$380 Hac.
16%
3.5–3.9%
$252 Hac.
30%
4.0-4.4%
$398 Hac.
23%
4.5%+
$753 Hac.
44%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarTrader sentiment on U.K. annual CPI inflation for 2026 reflects heightened uncertainty from Middle East conflict escalation, particularly the U.S.-Israel-Iran war, which has spiked oil and gas prices, derailing prior expectations of a swift return to the Bank of England's 2% target. February 2026 CPI held steady at 3.0%, with services inflation persistent at around 4.3%, prompting the BoE to maintain Bank Rate at 3.75% on March 19 amid revised near-term forecasts of 3–3.5%. Polymarket-implied probabilities cluster above 3.5%, with 4.5%+ (40%) edging 3.5–3.9% (31.5%) due to risks of prolonged energy shocks versus potential de-escalation; key swing factors include March CPI data due imminently, May BoE meeting, and Brent crude trajectory above $100/barrel.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Hacim
$3,492Bitiş Tarihi
20 Oca 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarTrader sentiment on U.K. annual CPI inflation for 2026 reflects heightened uncertainty from Middle East conflict escalation, particularly the U.S.-Israel-Iran war, which has spiked oil and gas prices, derailing prior expectations of a swift return to the Bank of England's 2% target. February 2026 CPI held steady at 3.0%, with services inflation persistent at around 4.3%, prompting the BoE to maintain Bank Rate at 3.75% on March 19 amid revised near-term forecasts of 3–3.5%. Polymarket-implied probabilities cluster above 3.5%, with 4.5%+ (40%) edging 3.5–3.9% (31.5%) due to risks of prolonged energy shocks versus potential de-escalation; key swing factors include March CPI data due imminently, May BoE meeting, and Brent crude trajectory above $100/barrel.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Hacim
$3,492Bitiş Tarihi
20 Oca 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on U.K. annual CPI inflation for 2026 reflects heightened uncertainty from Middle East conflict escalation, particularly the U.S.-Israel-Iran war, which has spiked oil and gas prices, derailing prior expectations of a swift return to the Bank of England's 2% target. February 2026 CPI held steady at 3.0%, with services inflation persistent at around 4.3%, prompting the BoE to maintain Bank Rate at 3.75% on March 19 amid revised near-term forecasts of 3–3.5%. Polymarket-implied probabilities cluster above 3.5%, with 4.5%+ (40%) edging 3.5–3.9% (31.5%) due to risks of prolonged energy shocks versus potential de-escalation; key swing factors include March CPI data due imminently, May BoE meeting, and Brent crude trajectory above $100/barrel.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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