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Teknoloji·Makro Göstergeler

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Market icon
Teknoloji·Makro Göstergeler

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Up

97% olasılık
Polymarket
YENİ

Up

97% olasılık
Polymarket
YENİ
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q1 2026 (Jan-Mar) than in Q4 (Oct-Dec) 2025 (115,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q4 2025 than in Q1 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the two figures are the same. The quarterly totals will be calculated as the sum of the relevant monthly data points within each respective quarter. This market will resolve once the monthly data point for March 2026 is released, with the release currently scheduled for Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 9:00 am ET, according to the official Release Calendar (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/releases/calendar). If not all relevant data points are released by the date the subsequent monthly data point is scheduled to be released, data published up until this point will be used to determine the Q1 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 96.6% for "Up" as independent trackers like TrueUp.io and Layoffs.fyi report 78,000–93,000 tech layoffs in Q1 2026 (January–March), surpassing Q4 2025's 115,000 information sector baseline per FRED data, fueled by artificial intelligence automation—nearly 50% of cuts—and major restructurings at Oracle (over 25,000 roles), Meta, Amazon, and Atlassian. Challenger, Gray & Christmas confirmed a 40% quarter-over-quarter surge to 52,000 U.S. tech job cuts. While official FRED figures from BLS JOLTS could face minor revisions from reporting delays or sector reclassifications, the scale of verified announcements leaves scant room for a downturn, with resolution imminent post-March data release.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q1 2026 (Jan-Mar) than in Q4 (Oct-Dec) 2025 (115,000 layoffs).

This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q4 2025 than in Q1 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the two figures are the same.

The quarterly totals will be calculated as the sum of the relevant monthly data points within each respective quarter.

This market will resolve once the monthly data point for March 2026 is released, with the release currently scheduled for Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 9:00 am ET, according to the official Release Calendar (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/releases/calendar). If not all relevant data points are released by the date the subsequent monthly data point is scheduled to be released, data published up until this point will be used to determine the Q1 2026 total.

Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.

This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).

Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Hacim
$8,723
Bitiş Tarihi
5 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 20, 2026, 5:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q1 2026 (Jan-Mar) than in Q4 (Oct-Dec) 2025 (115,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q4 2025 than in Q1 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the two figures are the same. The quarterly totals will be calculated as the sum of the relevant monthly data points within each respective quarter. This market will resolve once the monthly data point for March 2026 is released, with the release currently scheduled for Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 9:00 am ET, according to the official Release Calendar (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/releases/calendar). If not all relevant data points are released by the date the subsequent monthly data point is scheduled to be released, data published up until this point will be used to determine the Q1 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q1 2026 (Jan-Mar) than in Q4 (Oct-Dec) 2025 (115,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q4 2025 than in Q1 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the two figures are the same. The quarterly totals will be calculated as the sum of the relevant monthly data points within each respective quarter. This market will resolve once the monthly data point for March 2026 is released, with the release currently scheduled for Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 9:00 am ET, according to the official Release Calendar (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/releases/calendar). If not all relevant data points are released by the date the subsequent monthly data point is scheduled to be released, data published up until this point will be used to determine the Q1 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 96.6% for "Up" as independent trackers like TrueUp.io and Layoffs.fyi report 78,000–93,000 tech layoffs in Q1 2026 (January–March), surpassing Q4 2025's 115,000 information sector baseline per FRED data, fueled by artificial intelligence automation—nearly 50% of cuts—and major restructurings at Oracle (over 25,000 roles), Meta, Amazon, and Atlassian. Challenger, Gray & Christmas confirmed a 40% quarter-over-quarter surge to 52,000 U.S. tech job cuts. While official FRED figures from BLS JOLTS could face minor revisions from reporting delays or sector reclassifications, the scale of verified announcements leaves scant room for a downturn, with resolution imminent post-March data release.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q1 2026 (Jan-Mar) than in Q4 (Oct-Dec) 2025 (115,000 layoffs).

This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q4 2025 than in Q1 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the two figures are the same.

The quarterly totals will be calculated as the sum of the relevant monthly data points within each respective quarter.

This market will resolve once the monthly data point for March 2026 is released, with the release currently scheduled for Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 9:00 am ET, according to the official Release Calendar (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/releases/calendar). If not all relevant data points are released by the date the subsequent monthly data point is scheduled to be released, data published up until this point will be used to determine the Q1 2026 total.

Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.

This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).

Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Hacim
$8,723
Bitiş Tarihi
5 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 20, 2026, 5:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q1 2026 (Jan-Mar) than in Q4 (Oct-Dec) 2025 (115,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in Q4 2025 than in Q1 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the two figures are the same. The quarterly totals will be calculated as the sum of the relevant monthly data points within each respective quarter. This market will resolve once the monthly data point for March 2026 is released, with the release currently scheduled for Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 9:00 am ET, according to the official Release Calendar (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/releases/calendar). If not all relevant data points are released by the date the subsequent monthly data point is scheduled to be released, data published up until this point will be used to determine the Q1 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?", Polymarket’te yatırımcıların Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26? fiyatının başlıktaki günlük penceresi boyunca açılış fiyatının üstünde ("Yukarı") mi yoksa altında ("Aşağı") mı kapanacağına dair hisse alıp sattığı bir günlük tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut piyasa olasılığı "Up" için 97%’dır. 97%’lik bir fiyat, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 97% şans verdiği anlamına gelir. Yatırımcılar canlı Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26? fiyat hareketlerine tepki verdikçe fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı güncellenir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler, piyasa çözümlendiğinde her biri 1$ karşılığında kullanılabilir.

"Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?", Polymarket’te aktif bir kısa vadeli piyasadır. günlük penceresi ilerledikçe işlem hacmi hızla birikebilir — bu pencere kapanmadan oranları belirlemeye yardımcı olmak için erken katılın.

"Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26? fiyatının May 4 tarihinde öğlen ET’de March 20 tarihindeki öğlen ET fiyatından daha yüksek ("Yukarı") mi yoksa daha düşük ("Aşağı") mü olacağına karar verin. Fiyatın günden güne yükseleceğini düşünüyorsanız "Yukarı", düşeceğini düşünüyorsanız "Aşağı" satın alın. Tutarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Seçtiğiniz sonuç çözümlemede doğruysa, her hisse 1,00$ öder. Yanlışsa hisseler 0$ değerinde olur.

"Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?" için mevcut olasılık "Up" için 97%’dır, yani Polymarket topluluğu şu anda Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26? fiyatının bu günlük penceresi boyunca up kapanma olasılığını 97% olarak değerlendirmektedir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar canlı Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26? fiyat verilerine tepki verdikçe gerçek zamanlı güncellenir. Tam bir gün boyunca, günün fiyat hareketi açıldıkça oranlar değişen duyarlılığı yansıtır. Sık sık kontrol edin veya pencere kapanmadan şimdi işlem yapın.

"Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?" piyasası, Binance TECH-LAYOFFS/USDT 1 dakikalık mum kapanış fiyatları kullanılarak Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26? fiyatının May 4 tarihinde öğlen ET’de ve March 20 tarihinde öğlen ET’deki fiyatının karşılaştırılmasına göre çözümlenir. May 4 öğlen fiyatı daha yüksekse sonuç "Yukarı"; daha düşükse "Aşağı"; eşitse piyasa 50-50 çözümlenir. Tam çözümleme kriterlerini ve veri kaynağını bu sayfadaki "Kurallar" bölümünden inceleyebilirsiniz.