Polymarket traders price a 96.5% implied probability of no change in the Bank of England base rate at 3.75% for the April 30 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting sticky consumer price inflation holding at 3.0% in February—well above the 2% target—amid elevated services pressures and geopolitical risks from Middle East tensions elevating energy costs. The March MPC unanimously held rates steady, with wage growth easing to 3.8% annually yet remaining a persistent inflationary driver, aligning with economist surveys showing over 90% consensus for a hold. Labor market softening offers limited scope for cuts, while minority hike bets hinge on hotter data. Realistic challenges include softer-than-expected March CPI (due mid-April) prompting dovish repricing or unexpectedly strong prints fueling rate-rise odds, with the June meeting as the next key pivot.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendiİngiltere Merkez Bankası'nın Nisan ayındaki kararı mı?
İngiltere Merkez Bankası'nın Nisan ayındaki kararı mı?
Değişiklik yok 96.4%
Artış 3.5%
50+ baz puan düşüş <1%
25 baz puan düşüş <1%
$446,383 Hac.
$446,383 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
50+ baz puan düşüş
<1%
25 baz puan düşüş
<1%
Değişiklik yok
96%
Artış
3%
Değişiklik yok 96.4%
Artış 3.5%
50+ baz puan düşüş <1%
25 baz puan düşüş <1%
$446,383 Hac.
$446,383 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
50+ baz puan düşüş
$75,463 Hac.
<1%
25 baz puan düşüş
$158,039 Hac.
<1%
Değişiklik yok
$112,693 Hac.
96%
Artış
$100,188 Hac.
3%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 96.5% implied probability of no change in the Bank of England base rate at 3.75% for the April 30 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting sticky consumer price inflation holding at 3.0% in February—well above the 2% target—amid elevated services pressures and geopolitical risks from Middle East tensions elevating energy costs. The March MPC unanimously held rates steady, with wage growth easing to 3.8% annually yet remaining a persistent inflationary driver, aligning with economist surveys showing over 90% consensus for a hold. Labor market softening offers limited scope for cuts, while minority hike bets hinge on hotter data. Realistic challenges include softer-than-expected March CPI (due mid-April) prompting dovish repricing or unexpectedly strong prints fueling rate-rise odds, with the June meeting as the next key pivot.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Piyasa Açıldı: Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ET
Hacim
$446,383Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 96.5% implied probability of no change in the Bank of England base rate at 3.75% for the April 30 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting sticky consumer price inflation holding at 3.0% in February—well above the 2% target—amid elevated services pressures and geopolitical risks from Middle East tensions elevating energy costs. The March MPC unanimously held rates steady, with wage growth easing to 3.8% annually yet remaining a persistent inflationary driver, aligning with economist surveys showing over 90% consensus for a hold. Labor market softening offers limited scope for cuts, while minority hike bets hinge on hotter data. Realistic challenges include softer-than-expected March CPI (due mid-April) prompting dovish repricing or unexpectedly strong prints fueling rate-rise odds, with the June meeting as the next key pivot.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Hacim
$446,383Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 96.5% implied probability of no change in the Bank of England base rate at 3.75% for the April 30 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting sticky consumer price inflation holding at 3.0% in February—well above the 2% target—amid elevated services pressures and geopolitical risks from Middle East tensions elevating energy costs. The March MPC unanimously held rates steady, with wage growth easing to 3.8% annually yet remaining a persistent inflationary driver, aligning with economist surveys showing over 90% consensus for a hold. Labor market softening offers limited scope for cuts, while minority hike bets hinge on hotter data. Realistic challenges include softer-than-expected March CPI (due mid-April) prompting dovish repricing or unexpectedly strong prints fueling rate-rise odds, with the June meeting as the next key pivot.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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