Polymarket traders show a razor-thin split on South Korea's Q1 2026 GDP growth, pricing 2.5%+ at 50% implied probability against 2.0–2.4% at 46%, underscoring competing forces of booming exports versus tempered analyst consensus for full-year expansion around 2%. Surging March exports hit a record $86.1 billion, up 48.3% year-over-year on semiconductor strength from AI demand, alongside February industrial production rebounding 5.4% month-on-month, signal robust Q1 momentum exceeding prior contractionary quarters. Yet, ING and KDI project 1.9–2.0% annual growth amid global risks like elevated energy prices and supply disruptions. Swing factors include final consumption data; Bank of Korea's advance Q1 estimate due April 23 will likely break the deadlock.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiSouth Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026?
South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026?
2.5%+ 51%
2.0–2.4% 45%
0.5–0.9% 1.9%
1.5–1.9% 1.4%
$18,891 Hac.
$18,891 Hac.
23 Nis 2026
<0%
1%
0.0–0.4%
1%
0.5–0.9%
2%
1.0–1.4%
1%
1.5–1.9%
1%
2.0–2.4%
45%
2.5%+
51%
2.5%+ 51%
2.0–2.4% 45%
0.5–0.9% 1.9%
1.5–1.9% 1.4%
$18,891 Hac.
$18,891 Hac.
23 Nis 2026
<0%
$1,945 Hac.
1%
0.0–0.4%
$6,788 Hac.
1%
0.5–0.9%
$541 Hac.
2%
1.0–1.4%
$1,008 Hac.
1%
1.5–1.9%
$1,141 Hac.
1%
2.0–2.4%
$686 Hac.
45%
2.5%+
$6,781 Hac.
51%
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the first quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the first quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on April 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01Polymarket traders show a razor-thin split on South Korea's Q1 2026 GDP growth, pricing 2.5%+ at 50% implied probability against 2.0–2.4% at 46%, underscoring competing forces of booming exports versus tempered analyst consensus for full-year expansion around 2%. Surging March exports hit a record $86.1 billion, up 48.3% year-over-year on semiconductor strength from AI demand, alongside February industrial production rebounding 5.4% month-on-month, signal robust Q1 momentum exceeding prior contractionary quarters. Yet, ING and KDI project 1.9–2.0% annual growth amid global risks like elevated energy prices and supply disruptions. Swing factors include final consumption data; Bank of Korea's advance Q1 estimate due April 23 will likely break the deadlock.
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the first quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the first quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on April 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 29, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Hacim
$18,891Bitiş Tarihi
23 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 29, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the first quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the first quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on April 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01Polymarket traders show a razor-thin split on South Korea's Q1 2026 GDP growth, pricing 2.5%+ at 50% implied probability against 2.0–2.4% at 46%, underscoring competing forces of booming exports versus tempered analyst consensus for full-year expansion around 2%. Surging March exports hit a record $86.1 billion, up 48.3% year-over-year on semiconductor strength from AI demand, alongside February industrial production rebounding 5.4% month-on-month, signal robust Q1 momentum exceeding prior contractionary quarters. Yet, ING and KDI project 1.9–2.0% annual growth amid global risks like elevated energy prices and supply disruptions. Swing factors include final consumption data; Bank of Korea's advance Q1 estimate due April 23 will likely break the deadlock.
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the first quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the first quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on April 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
Hacim
$18,891Bitiş Tarihi
23 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 29, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders show a razor-thin split on South Korea's Q1 2026 GDP growth, pricing 2.5%+ at 50% implied probability against 2.0–2.4% at 46%, underscoring competing forces of booming exports versus tempered analyst consensus for full-year expansion around 2%. Surging March exports hit a record $86.1 billion, up 48.3% year-over-year on semiconductor strength from AI demand, alongside February industrial production rebounding 5.4% month-on-month, signal robust Q1 momentum exceeding prior contractionary quarters. Yet, ING and KDI project 1.9–2.0% annual growth amid global risks like elevated energy prices and supply disruptions. Swing factors include final consumption data; Bank of Korea's advance Q1 estimate due April 23 will likely break the deadlock.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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