Trader consensus favors below 40mm total precipitation in Seoul for April at 41% implied probability, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations showing minimal rainfall accumulation through mid-April amid persistent dry conditions and high-pressure systems dominating the region. This dry start—exacerbated by transitioning ENSO-neutral patterns following La Niña, which historically correlate with reduced spring precipitation over Korea—positions lower bins ahead, contrasting climatological averages of 65-100mm across 7-8 rainy days. Recent poor air quality reports underscore the scant showers, while forecast models indicate limited intensification potential for remaining days. Upcoming KMA updates and model ensembles could shift odds if frontal systems deliver unexpected rain.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiNisan ayında Seul'de yağış mı?
Nisan ayında Seul'de yağış mı?
<40mm 48%
65-70 mm 16%
75 mm+ 14%
45-50mm 7.6%
$16,669 Hac.
$16,669 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
<40mm
48%
40-45mm
12%
45-50mm
8%
50-55 mm
10%
55-60 mm
8%
60-65mm
5%
65-70 mm
16%
70-75mm
2%
75 mm+
14%
<40mm 48%
65-70 mm 16%
75 mm+ 14%
45-50mm 7.6%
$16,669 Hac.
$16,669 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
<40mm
$10,637 Hac.
48%
40-45mm
$254 Hac.
12%
45-50mm
$255 Hac.
8%
50-55 mm
$1,694 Hac.
10%
55-60 mm
$2,357 Hac.
8%
60-65mm
$182 Hac.
5%
65-70 mm
$393 Hac.
16%
70-75mm
$211 Hac.
2%
75 mm+
$688 Hac.
14%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors below 40mm total precipitation in Seoul for April at 41% implied probability, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations showing minimal rainfall accumulation through mid-April amid persistent dry conditions and high-pressure systems dominating the region. This dry start—exacerbated by transitioning ENSO-neutral patterns following La Niña, which historically correlate with reduced spring precipitation over Korea—positions lower bins ahead, contrasting climatological averages of 65-100mm across 7-8 rainy days. Recent poor air quality reports underscore the scant showers, while forecast models indicate limited intensification potential for remaining days. Upcoming KMA updates and model ensembles could shift odds if frontal systems deliver unexpected rain.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Hacim
$16,669Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors below 40mm total precipitation in Seoul for April at 41% implied probability, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations showing minimal rainfall accumulation through mid-April amid persistent dry conditions and high-pressure systems dominating the region. This dry start—exacerbated by transitioning ENSO-neutral patterns following La Niña, which historically correlate with reduced spring precipitation over Korea—positions lower bins ahead, contrasting climatological averages of 65-100mm across 7-8 rainy days. Recent poor air quality reports underscore the scant showers, while forecast models indicate limited intensification potential for remaining days. Upcoming KMA updates and model ensembles could shift odds if frontal systems deliver unexpected rain.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$16,669Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors below 40mm total precipitation in Seoul for April at 41% implied probability, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations showing minimal rainfall accumulation through mid-April amid persistent dry conditions and high-pressure systems dominating the region. This dry start—exacerbated by transitioning ENSO-neutral patterns following La Niña, which historically correlate with reduced spring precipitation over Korea—positions lower bins ahead, contrasting climatological averages of 65-100mm across 7-8 rainy days. Recent poor air quality reports underscore the scant showers, while forecast models indicate limited intensification potential for remaining days. Upcoming KMA updates and model ensembles could shift odds if frontal systems deliver unexpected rain.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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