Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 3-3.5 inches of total April precipitation at Seattle's CLISEA station (Seattle-Tacoma Airport) as the leading outcome at 38.5% implied probability, driven by National Weather Service data showing 1.86 inches accumulated through April 14—elevated by a 1.06-inch deluge on April 14 that erased earlier dry spells (just 0.77 inches through April 11). This places the month-to-date slightly above the mid-April climatological pace toward the full-month normal of 3.18 inches. NOAA's spring outlook for western Washington forecasts a 40-50% chance of below-normal precipitation, with current NWS ensemble models projecting limited additional rainfall over the remaining 16 days amid high-pressure ridging patterns. Uncertainties persist in late-month frontal activity, with daily NWS climate reports and forecast updates key to watch.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiNisan ayında Seattle'da yağış mı?
Nisan ayında Seattle'da yağış mı?
3-3.5" 43%
3,5-4" 17.0%
<2,5" 14%
2,5-3" 13%
$44,121 Hac.
$44,121 Hac.
<2,5"
14%
2,5-3"
13%
3-3.5"
42%
3,5-4"
17%
4-4.5"
2%
4,5-5"
2%
>5"
3%
3-3.5" 43%
3,5-4" 17.0%
<2,5" 14%
2,5-3" 13%
$44,121 Hac.
$44,121 Hac.
<2,5"
14%
2,5-3"
13%
3-3.5"
42%
3,5-4"
17%
4-4.5"
2%
4,5-5"
2%
>5"
3%
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 3-3.5 inches of total April precipitation at Seattle's CLISEA station (Seattle-Tacoma Airport) as the leading outcome at 38.5% implied probability, driven by National Weather Service data showing 1.86 inches accumulated through April 14—elevated by a 1.06-inch deluge on April 14 that erased earlier dry spells (just 0.77 inches through April 11). This places the month-to-date slightly above the mid-April climatological pace toward the full-month normal of 3.18 inches. NOAA's spring outlook for western Washington forecasts a 40-50% chance of below-normal precipitation, with current NWS ensemble models projecting limited additional rainfall over the remaining 16 days amid high-pressure ridging patterns. Uncertainties persist in late-month frontal activity, with daily NWS climate reports and forecast updates key to watch.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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