National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecast models project a high temperature near 66°F in San Francisco on April 17 under mostly sunny skies with light onshore winds, driving the tight trader consensus favoring 66-71°F outcomes at over 75% combined implied probability. This reflects moderating marine layer influence amid a developing upper-level ridge, modestly above the mid-April climatological normal of 64-65°F based on 30-year NOAA averages at downtown stations. Differentiating factors include stratocumulus cloud burn-off timing—earlier dissipation by late morning enhances insolation for 68-71°F peaks, while prolonged coastal fog limits mixing and caps at 66°F; model spreads of 3-5°F capture this uncertainty. Monitor NWS hourly updates and San Francisco International Airport observations through 3 PM PDT for pivotal shifts ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?
66-67°F 29%
68-69°F 28%
70-71°F 28%
64-65°F 18%
YENİ
$10,615 Hac.
YENİ
$10,615 Hac.
17 Nis 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
7%
64-65°F
18%
66-67°F
29%
68-69°F
28%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 29%
68-69°F 28%
70-71°F 28%
64-65°F 18%
YENİ
$10,615 Hac.
YENİ
$10,615 Hac.
17 Nis 2026
57°F or below
$870 Hac.
<1%
58-59°F
$1,972 Hac.
1%
60-61°F
$2,612 Hac.
1%
62-63°F
$727 Hac.
7%
64-65°F
$470 Hac.
18%
66-67°F
$375 Hac.
29%
68-69°F
$629 Hac.
28%
70-71°F
$562 Hac.
28%
72-73°F
$637 Hac.
4%
74-75°F
$768 Hac.
1%
76°F or higher
$1,196 Hac.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecast models project a high temperature near 66°F in San Francisco on April 17 under mostly sunny skies with light onshore winds, driving the tight trader consensus favoring 66-71°F outcomes at over 75% combined implied probability. This reflects moderating marine layer influence amid a developing upper-level ridge, modestly above the mid-April climatological normal of 64-65°F based on 30-year NOAA averages at downtown stations. Differentiating factors include stratocumulus cloud burn-off timing—earlier dissipation by late morning enhances insolation for 68-71°F peaks, while prolonged coastal fog limits mixing and caps at 66°F; model spreads of 3-5°F capture this uncertainty. Monitor NWS hourly updates and San Francisco International Airport observations through 3 PM PDT for pivotal shifts ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Hacim
$10,615Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecast models project a high temperature near 66°F in San Francisco on April 17 under mostly sunny skies with light onshore winds, driving the tight trader consensus favoring 66-71°F outcomes at over 75% combined implied probability. This reflects moderating marine layer influence amid a developing upper-level ridge, modestly above the mid-April climatological normal of 64-65°F based on 30-year NOAA averages at downtown stations. Differentiating factors include stratocumulus cloud burn-off timing—earlier dissipation by late morning enhances insolation for 68-71°F peaks, while prolonged coastal fog limits mixing and caps at 66°F; model spreads of 3-5°F capture this uncertainty. Monitor NWS hourly updates and San Francisco International Airport observations through 3 PM PDT for pivotal shifts ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$10,615Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecast models project a high temperature near 66°F in San Francisco on April 17 under mostly sunny skies with light onshore winds, driving the tight trader consensus favoring 66-71°F outcomes at over 75% combined implied probability. This reflects moderating marine layer influence amid a developing upper-level ridge, modestly above the mid-April climatological normal of 64-65°F based on 30-year NOAA averages at downtown stations. Differentiating factors include stratocumulus cloud burn-off timing—earlier dissipation by late morning enhances insolation for 68-71°F peaks, while prolonged coastal fog limits mixing and caps at 66°F; model spreads of 3-5°F capture this uncertainty. Monitor NWS hourly updates and San Francisco International Airport observations through 3 PM PDT for pivotal shifts ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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