Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Ankara Esenboğa International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached exactly 20°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with mid-April climatological norms for central Turkey, where daily maxima typically range 16–18°C amid variable spring weather patterns influenced by continental high-pressure systems and southerly flows. Pre-event forecasts from ensemble models had converged on 19–21°C peaks under partly sunny conditions with light winds. Realistic challenges are negligible post-measurement, though minor revisions could arise from final quality-controlled data releases, but historical precedents show such adjustments rarely exceed 0.5°C.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiAnkara'da en yüksek sıcaklık 15 Nisan'da mı?
Ankara'da en yüksek sıcaklık 15 Nisan'da mı?
20°C 100.0%
13°C veya altında <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$166,215 Hac.
$166,215 Hac.
15 Nis 2026
13°C veya altında
Hayır
14°C
Hayır
15°C
Hayır
16°C
Hayır
17°C
Hayır
18°C
Hayır
19°C
Hayır
20°C
Evet
21°C
Hayır
22°C
Hayır
23°C veya daha yüksek
Hayır
20°C 100.0%
13°C veya altında <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$166,215 Hac.
$166,215 Hac.
15 Nis 2026
13°C veya altında
$9,992 Hac.
Hayır
14°C
$3,505 Hac.
Hayır
15°C
$5,307 Hac.
Hayır
16°C
$4,470 Hac.
Hayır
17°C
$8,343 Hac.
Hayır
18°C
$13,326 Hac.
Hayır
19°C
$18,376 Hac.
Hayır
20°C
$16,624 Hac.
Evet
21°C
$60,244 Hac.
Hayır
22°C
$13,101 Hac.
Hayır
23°C veya daha yüksek
$12,926 Hac.
Hayır
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Ankara Esenboğa International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached exactly 20°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with mid-April climatological norms for central Turkey, where daily maxima typically range 16–18°C amid variable spring weather patterns influenced by continental high-pressure systems and southerly flows. Pre-event forecasts from ensemble models had converged on 19–21°C peaks under partly sunny conditions with light winds. Realistic challenges are negligible post-measurement, though minor revisions could arise from final quality-controlled data releases, but historical precedents show such adjustments rarely exceed 0.5°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Hacim
$166,215Bitiş Tarihi
15 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sonuç önerildi: Hayır
İtiraz yok
Kesin sonuç: Hayır
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Ankara Esenboğa International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached exactly 20°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with mid-April climatological norms for central Turkey, where daily maxima typically range 16–18°C amid variable spring weather patterns influenced by continental high-pressure systems and southerly flows. Pre-event forecasts from ensemble models had converged on 19–21°C peaks under partly sunny conditions with light winds. Realistic challenges are negligible post-measurement, though minor revisions could arise from final quality-controlled data releases, but historical precedents show such adjustments rarely exceed 0.5°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$166,215Bitiş Tarihi
15 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sonuç önerildi: Hayır
İtiraz yok
Kesin sonuç: Hayır
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Ankara Esenboğa International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached exactly 20°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with mid-April climatological norms for central Turkey, where daily maxima typically range 16–18°C amid variable spring weather patterns influenced by continental high-pressure systems and southerly flows. Pre-event forecasts from ensemble models had converged on 19–21°C peaks under partly sunny conditions with light winds. Realistic challenges are negligible post-measurement, though minor revisions could arise from final quality-controlled data releases, but historical precedents show such adjustments rarely exceed 0.5°C.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular