Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters implied probabilities around 33°C (29%) and 34°C (28.5%), reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty from BMKG and global models like GFS, which project Jakarta highs of 32–34°C on April 18 amid the transition to dry season. Light rain probabilities (70–95%) and cloudy skies could cap peaks near 32°C, while periods of clearer skies, amplified by urban heat island effects adding 2–3°C above rural baselines, support 33–34°C outcomes; the 26% on 37°C+ captures tail risks from recent hot spells exceeding 35°C earlier in April under neutral ENSO conditions. Historical April averages hover at 32°C, but daily BMKG updates through April 17 may refine steering winds and insolation.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 18?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 18?
32°C 30%
33°C 30%
34°C 28%
31°C 19%
YENİ
YENİ
18 Nis 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
15%
31°C
19%
32°C
30%
33°C
30%
34°C
28%
35°C
15%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 30%
33°C 30%
34°C 28%
31°C 19%
YENİ
YENİ
18 Nis 2026
27°C or below
$105 Hac.
1%
28°C
$109 Hac.
1%
29°C
$29 Hac.
5%
30°C
$15 Hac.
15%
31°C
$0 Hac.
19%
32°C
$0 Hac.
30%
33°C
$0 Hac.
30%
34°C
$2 Hac.
28%
35°C
$0 Hac.
15%
36°C
$29 Hac.
4%
37°C or higher
$106 Hac.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters implied probabilities around 33°C (29%) and 34°C (28.5%), reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty from BMKG and global models like GFS, which project Jakarta highs of 32–34°C on April 18 amid the transition to dry season. Light rain probabilities (70–95%) and cloudy skies could cap peaks near 32°C, while periods of clearer skies, amplified by urban heat island effects adding 2–3°C above rural baselines, support 33–34°C outcomes; the 26% on 37°C+ captures tail risks from recent hot spells exceeding 35°C earlier in April under neutral ENSO conditions. Historical April averages hover at 32°C, but daily BMKG updates through April 17 may refine steering winds and insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ET
Hacim
$395Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters implied probabilities around 33°C (29%) and 34°C (28.5%), reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty from BMKG and global models like GFS, which project Jakarta highs of 32–34°C on April 18 amid the transition to dry season. Light rain probabilities (70–95%) and cloudy skies could cap peaks near 32°C, while periods of clearer skies, amplified by urban heat island effects adding 2–3°C above rural baselines, support 33–34°C outcomes; the 26% on 37°C+ captures tail risks from recent hot spells exceeding 35°C earlier in April under neutral ENSO conditions. Historical April averages hover at 32°C, but daily BMKG updates through April 17 may refine steering winds and insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$395Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters implied probabilities around 33°C (29%) and 34°C (28.5%), reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty from BMKG and global models like GFS, which project Jakarta highs of 32–34°C on April 18 amid the transition to dry season. Light rain probabilities (70–95%) and cloudy skies could cap peaks near 32°C, while periods of clearer skies, amplified by urban heat island effects adding 2–3°C above rural baselines, support 33–34°C outcomes; the 26% on 37°C+ captures tail risks from recent hot spells exceeding 35°C earlier in April under neutral ENSO conditions. Historical April averages hover at 32°C, but daily BMKG updates through April 17 may refine steering winds and insolation.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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