The Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest observations and short-term forecast updates have solidified trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for a 21°C high in Tokyo on April 16, as midday peaks aligned precisely with this mark amid partly cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly winds capping solar heating, and typical mid-April climatology favoring 19–21°C maxima. Ensemble model runs from JMA and global counterparts converged on subdued warming after an initial 11 a.m. outlook near 25°C proved overly optimistic due to increased cloud cover. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon sunbreak boosting temperatures via enhanced insolation or a rare station-specific measurement revision, though evening cooling and low solar angles now minimize upside risk ahead of final JMA resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 16?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 16?
21°C 99.9%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
24°C or higher <1%
YENİ
$191,496 Hac.
YENİ
$191,496 Hac.
16 Nis 2026
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
21°C 99.9%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
24°C or higher <1%
YENİ
$191,496 Hac.
YENİ
$191,496 Hac.
16 Nis 2026
21°C
$65,808 Hac.
100%
22°C
$22,477 Hac.
<1%
23°C
$18,501 Hac.
<1%
24°C or higher
$17,416 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest observations and short-term forecast updates have solidified trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for a 21°C high in Tokyo on April 16, as midday peaks aligned precisely with this mark amid partly cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly winds capping solar heating, and typical mid-April climatology favoring 19–21°C maxima. Ensemble model runs from JMA and global counterparts converged on subdued warming after an initial 11 a.m. outlook near 25°C proved overly optimistic due to increased cloud cover. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon sunbreak boosting temperatures via enhanced insolation or a rare station-specific measurement revision, though evening cooling and low solar angles now minimize upside risk ahead of final JMA resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Hacim
$191,496Bitiş Tarihi
16 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest observations and short-term forecast updates have solidified trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for a 21°C high in Tokyo on April 16, as midday peaks aligned precisely with this mark amid partly cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly winds capping solar heating, and typical mid-April climatology favoring 19–21°C maxima. Ensemble model runs from JMA and global counterparts converged on subdued warming after an initial 11 a.m. outlook near 25°C proved overly optimistic due to increased cloud cover. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon sunbreak boosting temperatures via enhanced insolation or a rare station-specific measurement revision, though evening cooling and low solar angles now minimize upside risk ahead of final JMA resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$191,496Bitiş Tarihi
16 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest observations and short-term forecast updates have solidified trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for a 21°C high in Tokyo on April 16, as midday peaks aligned precisely with this mark amid partly cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly winds capping solar heating, and typical mid-April climatology favoring 19–21°C maxima. Ensemble model runs from JMA and global counterparts converged on subdued warming after an initial 11 a.m. outlook near 25°C proved overly optimistic due to increased cloud cover. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-afternoon sunbreak boosting temperatures via enhanced insolation or a rare station-specific measurement revision, though evening cooling and low solar angles now minimize upside risk ahead of final JMA resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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