Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering in ECMWF, GFS, and DWD ICON forecast ensembles, projecting Munich's highest temperature on April 18 around 20–22°C under a building high-pressure ridge bringing southerly flow and above-average spring warmth. Recent model runs updated April 16 show daytime highs of 19–23°C across members, with 20°C as the modal outcome per AccuWeather's 20°C (68°F) guidance amid partly sunny skies. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover variability—potentially capping at 19°C if thicker—or enhanced boundary-layer mixing pushing to 22°C. Observational trends from cooler recent days (e.g., 13°C on April 15) signal warming; watch April 17's 12Z ensemble updates for refinement ahead of DWD station resolution at Munich Airport.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Munich on April 18?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 18?
20°C 30%
21°C 27%
19°C 21%
22°C 18%
YENİ
YENİ
18 Nis 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
10%
19°C
21%
20°C
30%
21°C
27%
22°C
18%
23°C
7%
24°C or higher
3%
20°C 30%
21°C 27%
19°C 21%
22°C 18%
YENİ
YENİ
18 Nis 2026
14°C or below
$767 Hac.
<1%
15°C
$672 Hac.
<1%
16°C
$1,258 Hac.
1%
17°C
$785 Hac.
1%
18°C
$334 Hac.
10%
19°C
$98 Hac.
21%
20°C
$75 Hac.
30%
21°C
$54 Hac.
27%
22°C
$186 Hac.
18%
23°C
$294 Hac.
7%
24°C or higher
$133 Hac.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering in ECMWF, GFS, and DWD ICON forecast ensembles, projecting Munich's highest temperature on April 18 around 20–22°C under a building high-pressure ridge bringing southerly flow and above-average spring warmth. Recent model runs updated April 16 show daytime highs of 19–23°C across members, with 20°C as the modal outcome per AccuWeather's 20°C (68°F) guidance amid partly sunny skies. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover variability—potentially capping at 19°C if thicker—or enhanced boundary-layer mixing pushing to 22°C. Observational trends from cooler recent days (e.g., 13°C on April 15) signal warming; watch April 17's 12Z ensemble updates for refinement ahead of DWD station resolution at Munich Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Hacim
$4,582Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering in ECMWF, GFS, and DWD ICON forecast ensembles, projecting Munich's highest temperature on April 18 around 20–22°C under a building high-pressure ridge bringing southerly flow and above-average spring warmth. Recent model runs updated April 16 show daytime highs of 19–23°C across members, with 20°C as the modal outcome per AccuWeather's 20°C (68°F) guidance amid partly sunny skies. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover variability—potentially capping at 19°C if thicker—or enhanced boundary-layer mixing pushing to 22°C. Observational trends from cooler recent days (e.g., 13°C on April 15) signal warming; watch April 17's 12Z ensemble updates for refinement ahead of DWD station resolution at Munich Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$4,582Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering in ECMWF, GFS, and DWD ICON forecast ensembles, projecting Munich's highest temperature on April 18 around 20–22°C under a building high-pressure ridge bringing southerly flow and above-average spring warmth. Recent model runs updated April 16 show daytime highs of 19–23°C across members, with 20°C as the modal outcome per AccuWeather's 20°C (68°F) guidance amid partly sunny skies. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover variability—potentially capping at 19°C if thicker—or enhanced boundary-layer mixing pushing to 22°C. Observational trends from cooler recent days (e.g., 13°C on April 15) signal warming; watch April 17's 12Z ensemble updates for refinement ahead of DWD station resolution at Munich Airport.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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