Official observations from Moscow's primary weather stations, including those monitored by Roshydromet, confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 10°C on April 15, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent cloud cover, intermittent light rain, and cool air advection from northerly flows suppressed daytime heating, capping peaks well below pre-event forecasts of 13–15°C from models like those from Gismeteo. This aligns with mid-April climatological norms, where average highs hover around 10–12°C amid transitional spring patterns. Realistic challenges would require verified data revisions from secondary stations revealing a higher reading or instrument recalibration, though such shifts are exceedingly rare post-validation. Traders' consensus reflects ironclad observational evidence over lingering forecast uncertainty.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi15 Nisan'da Moskova'da en yüksek sıcaklık?
15 Nisan'da Moskova'da en yüksek sıcaklık?
10°C 100.0%
11°C <1%
13°C <1%
16°C <1%
$127,611 Hac.
$127,611 Hac.
15 Nis 2026
10°C
100%
11°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
10°C 100.0%
11°C <1%
13°C <1%
16°C <1%
$127,611 Hac.
$127,611 Hac.
15 Nis 2026
10°C
$29,603 Hac.
100%
11°C
$9,577 Hac.
<1%
13°C
$16,495 Hac.
<1%
16°C
$12,256 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Moscow's primary weather stations, including those monitored by Roshydromet, confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 10°C on April 15, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent cloud cover, intermittent light rain, and cool air advection from northerly flows suppressed daytime heating, capping peaks well below pre-event forecasts of 13–15°C from models like those from Gismeteo. This aligns with mid-April climatological norms, where average highs hover around 10–12°C amid transitional spring patterns. Realistic challenges would require verified data revisions from secondary stations revealing a higher reading or instrument recalibration, though such shifts are exceedingly rare post-validation. Traders' consensus reflects ironclad observational evidence over lingering forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Hacim
$127,611Bitiş Tarihi
15 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sonuç önerildi: Evet
İtiraz penceresi
Kesin
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Moscow's primary weather stations, including those monitored by Roshydromet, confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 10°C on April 15, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent cloud cover, intermittent light rain, and cool air advection from northerly flows suppressed daytime heating, capping peaks well below pre-event forecasts of 13–15°C from models like those from Gismeteo. This aligns with mid-April climatological norms, where average highs hover around 10–12°C amid transitional spring patterns. Realistic challenges would require verified data revisions from secondary stations revealing a higher reading or instrument recalibration, though such shifts are exceedingly rare post-validation. Traders' consensus reflects ironclad observational evidence over lingering forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$127,611Bitiş Tarihi
15 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sonuç önerildi: Evet
İtiraz penceresi
Kesin
Official observations from Moscow's primary weather stations, including those monitored by Roshydromet, confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 10°C on April 15, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent cloud cover, intermittent light rain, and cool air advection from northerly flows suppressed daytime heating, capping peaks well below pre-event forecasts of 13–15°C from models like those from Gismeteo. This aligns with mid-April climatological norms, where average highs hover around 10–12°C amid transitional spring patterns. Realistic challenges would require verified data revisions from secondary stations revealing a higher reading or instrument recalibration, though such shifts are exceedingly rare post-validation. Traders' consensus reflects ironclad observational evidence over lingering forecast uncertainty.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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