Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an 11°C high in Moscow at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 13°C (26%), 10°C (21%), and 12°C (21%), driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime peaks of 11–13°C amid partly cloudy conditions and morning showers. Roshydromet data indicates a northerly breeze at 2 m/s capping temperatures in a cool air mass, with 69% precipitation odds limiting solar heating despite recent April warming trends (monthly mean 7.9°C vs. 6.9°C normal). Differentiating factors include cloud persistence versus afternoon clearing and urban heat effects at official stations like Vnukovo; hourly observations through evening will refine the outcome as models show spread from insolation variability.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi16 Nisan'da Moskova'da en yüksek sıcaklık?
16 Nisan'da Moskova'da en yüksek sıcaklık?
11°C 31.1%
13°C 26%
10°C 23.0%
12°C 22%
YENİ
$44,353 Hac.
YENİ
$44,353 Hac.
16 Nis 2026
8°C veya altında
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
23%
11°C
31%
12°C
22%
13°C
26%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C veya daha yüksek
<1%
11°C 31.1%
13°C 26%
10°C 23.0%
12°C 22%
YENİ
$44,353 Hac.
YENİ
$44,353 Hac.
16 Nis 2026
8°C veya altında
$13,769 Hac.
<1%
9°C
$3,261 Hac.
2%
10°C
$3,023 Hac.
23%
11°C
$2,040 Hac.
31%
12°C
$1,707 Hac.
22%
13°C
$4,320 Hac.
26%
14°C
$4,729 Hac.
1%
15°C
$3,670 Hac.
<1%
16°C
$3,360 Hac.
<1%
17°C
$2,857 Hac.
<1%
18°C veya daha yüksek
$2,498 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an 11°C high in Moscow at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 13°C (26%), 10°C (21%), and 12°C (21%), driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime peaks of 11–13°C amid partly cloudy conditions and morning showers. Roshydromet data indicates a northerly breeze at 2 m/s capping temperatures in a cool air mass, with 69% precipitation odds limiting solar heating despite recent April warming trends (monthly mean 7.9°C vs. 6.9°C normal). Differentiating factors include cloud persistence versus afternoon clearing and urban heat effects at official stations like Vnukovo; hourly observations through evening will refine the outcome as models show spread from insolation variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
Hacim
$44,353Bitiş Tarihi
16 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an 11°C high in Moscow at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 13°C (26%), 10°C (21%), and 12°C (21%), driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime peaks of 11–13°C amid partly cloudy conditions and morning showers. Roshydromet data indicates a northerly breeze at 2 m/s capping temperatures in a cool air mass, with 69% precipitation odds limiting solar heating despite recent April warming trends (monthly mean 7.9°C vs. 6.9°C normal). Differentiating factors include cloud persistence versus afternoon clearing and urban heat effects at official stations like Vnukovo; hourly observations through evening will refine the outcome as models show spread from insolation variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$44,353Bitiş Tarihi
16 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors an 11°C high in Moscow at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 13°C (26%), 10°C (21%), and 12°C (21%), driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime peaks of 11–13°C amid partly cloudy conditions and morning showers. Roshydromet data indicates a northerly breeze at 2 m/s capping temperatures in a cool air mass, with 69% precipitation odds limiting solar heating despite recent April warming trends (monthly mean 7.9°C vs. 6.9°C normal). Differentiating factors include cloud persistence versus afternoon clearing and urban heat effects at official stations like Vnukovo; hourly observations through evening will refine the outcome as models show spread from insolation variability.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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