MetService's latest forecast, issued April 16, projects Wellington's April 18 high at 17°C amid showers turning to afternoon rain and gale-force northerlies, yet traders price 18°C (35%) and 19°C (30%) highest, reflecting model uncertainty in northerly warm air advection versus cloud-induced cooling. Strong northwest winds—potentially severe gales per the outlook—could enhance mixing and mild temperatures above the mid-April climatological average of 16°C, but 95% rainfall probability risks capping peaks through reduced insolation. Recent remnants of ex-tropical Cyclone Vaianu delivered earlier storms, heightening volatility; watch tomorrow's forecast update for refined guidance on front timing and precipitation intensity.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Wellington on April 18?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 18?
18°C 36%
19°C 29%
17°C 21%
16°C 13%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
13%
17°C
21%
18°C
36%
19°C
29%
20°C
3%
21°C or higher
2%
18°C 36%
19°C 29%
17°C 21%
16°C 13%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
13%
17°C
21%
18°C
36%
19°C
29%
20°C
3%
21°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast, issued April 16, projects Wellington's April 18 high at 17°C amid showers turning to afternoon rain and gale-force northerlies, yet traders price 18°C (35%) and 19°C (30%) highest, reflecting model uncertainty in northerly warm air advection versus cloud-induced cooling. Strong northwest winds—potentially severe gales per the outlook—could enhance mixing and mild temperatures above the mid-April climatological average of 16°C, but 95% rainfall probability risks capping peaks through reduced insolation. Recent remnants of ex-tropical Cyclone Vaianu delivered earlier storms, heightening volatility; watch tomorrow's forecast update for refined guidance on front timing and precipitation intensity.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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