Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 32–34°C for Lagos's highest temperature on April 18, aligning with NiMet's seasonal outlook for hot conditions during the dry-to-wet transition and current short-range forecasts from agencies like AccuWeather projecting daytime highs near 32–33°C amid scattered thunderstorms. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and convective activity from emerging rainy season patterns, which could suppress peaks to 32°C via shading or boost to 34°C under clearer skies and stronger insolation; sea breezes from the Gulf of Guinea often moderate extremes in this tropical climate, where April climatological normals average 32.1°C. Inherent forecast uncertainty grows within 48 hours, with NiMet updates and model ensembles like GFS potentially refining odds ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Lagos on April 18?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 18?
33°C 22%
31°C 21%
34°C 21%
32°C 20%
YENİ
YENİ
18 Nis 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
21%
32°C
20%
33°C
22%
34°C
21%
35°C
14%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
2%
33°C 22%
31°C 21%
34°C 21%
32°C 20%
YENİ
YENİ
18 Nis 2026
27°C or below
$5,274 Hac.
1%
28°C
$484 Hac.
1%
29°C
$193 Hac.
4%
30°C
$41 Hac.
3%
31°C
$0 Hac.
21%
32°C
$0 Hac.
20%
33°C
$0 Hac.
22%
34°C
$0 Hac.
21%
35°C
$0 Hac.
14%
36°C
$186 Hac.
3%
37°C or higher
$47 Hac.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 32–34°C for Lagos's highest temperature on April 18, aligning with NiMet's seasonal outlook for hot conditions during the dry-to-wet transition and current short-range forecasts from agencies like AccuWeather projecting daytime highs near 32–33°C amid scattered thunderstorms. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and convective activity from emerging rainy season patterns, which could suppress peaks to 32°C via shading or boost to 34°C under clearer skies and stronger insolation; sea breezes from the Gulf of Guinea often moderate extremes in this tropical climate, where April climatological normals average 32.1°C. Inherent forecast uncertainty grows within 48 hours, with NiMet updates and model ensembles like GFS potentially refining odds ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 16, 2026, 2:03 AM ET
Hacim
$5,786Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 2:03 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 32–34°C for Lagos's highest temperature on April 18, aligning with NiMet's seasonal outlook for hot conditions during the dry-to-wet transition and current short-range forecasts from agencies like AccuWeather projecting daytime highs near 32–33°C amid scattered thunderstorms. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and convective activity from emerging rainy season patterns, which could suppress peaks to 32°C via shading or boost to 34°C under clearer skies and stronger insolation; sea breezes from the Gulf of Guinea often moderate extremes in this tropical climate, where April climatological normals average 32.1°C. Inherent forecast uncertainty grows within 48 hours, with NiMet updates and model ensembles like GFS potentially refining odds ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$5,786Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 2:03 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 32–34°C for Lagos's highest temperature on April 18, aligning with NiMet's seasonal outlook for hot conditions during the dry-to-wet transition and current short-range forecasts from agencies like AccuWeather projecting daytime highs near 32–33°C amid scattered thunderstorms. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and convective activity from emerging rainy season patterns, which could suppress peaks to 32°C via shading or boost to 34°C under clearer skies and stronger insolation; sea breezes from the Gulf of Guinea often moderate extremes in this tropical climate, where April climatological normals average 32.1°C. Inherent forecast uncertainty grows within 48 hours, with NiMet updates and model ensembles like GFS potentially refining odds ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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