Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 31°C as the highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 16 at nearly 100% implied probability, backed by official observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport showing midday peaks at 31°C under sunny conditions with light winds. This exceeds initial China Meteorological Administration forecasts of a cloudy 29°C high, as stronger solar insolation and urban heat island effects—common in April's subtropical climate—amplified warming beyond ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models clustering at 29-30°C. Historical April averages hover around 26°C, underscoring the day's above-normal heat. A challenge to 32°C or higher would require an improbable late-afternoon surge before sunset near 18:40 local time, with sea breezes now moderating temperatures; final daily maximum data from CMA expected overnight.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiShenzhen'deki en yüksek sıcaklık 16 Nisan'da mı?
Shenzhen'deki en yüksek sıcaklık 16 Nisan'da mı?
YENİ
$109,996 Hac.
YENİ
$109,996 Hac.
16 Nis 2026
31°C
100%
32°C veya daha yüksek
<1%
YENİ
$109,996 Hac.
YENİ
$109,996 Hac.
16 Nis 2026
31°C
$15,366 Hac.
100%
32°C veya daha yüksek
$6,996 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 31°C as the highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 16 at nearly 100% implied probability, backed by official observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport showing midday peaks at 31°C under sunny conditions with light winds. This exceeds initial China Meteorological Administration forecasts of a cloudy 29°C high, as stronger solar insolation and urban heat island effects—common in April's subtropical climate—amplified warming beyond ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models clustering at 29-30°C. Historical April averages hover around 26°C, underscoring the day's above-normal heat. A challenge to 32°C or higher would require an improbable late-afternoon surge before sunset near 18:40 local time, with sea breezes now moderating temperatures; final daily maximum data from CMA expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 14, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
Hacim
$109,996Bitiş Tarihi
16 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 6:59 PM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 31°C as the highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 16 at nearly 100% implied probability, backed by official observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport showing midday peaks at 31°C under sunny conditions with light winds. This exceeds initial China Meteorological Administration forecasts of a cloudy 29°C high, as stronger solar insolation and urban heat island effects—common in April's subtropical climate—amplified warming beyond ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models clustering at 29-30°C. Historical April averages hover around 26°C, underscoring the day's above-normal heat. A challenge to 32°C or higher would require an improbable late-afternoon surge before sunset near 18:40 local time, with sea breezes now moderating temperatures; final daily maximum data from CMA expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$109,996Bitiş Tarihi
16 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 6:59 PM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 31°C as the highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 16 at nearly 100% implied probability, backed by official observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport showing midday peaks at 31°C under sunny conditions with light winds. This exceeds initial China Meteorological Administration forecasts of a cloudy 29°C high, as stronger solar insolation and urban heat island effects—common in April's subtropical climate—amplified warming beyond ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models clustering at 29-30°C. Historical April averages hover around 26°C, underscoring the day's above-normal heat. A challenge to 32°C or higher would require an improbable late-afternoon surge before sunset near 18:40 local time, with sea breezes now moderating temperatures; final daily maximum data from CMA expected overnight.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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