Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration (CMA) project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 18 clustering around 28–31°C, reflecting trader sentiment in the closely matched leading outcomes. This stems from a strengthening subtropical ridge over southern China promoting warm advection, with recent observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport recording 30°C highs on April 15–16 amid light winds and partial cloud cover. Differentiating factors include potential thunderstorm activity introducing convective cooling and variable cloudiness, which could suppress peaks toward 28–29°C, versus clearer skies allowing 30–31°C; historical April averages hover near 26–27°C. New model runs expected daily from NOAA and ECMWF will refine these market-implied probabilities before resolution based on official station measurements.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 18?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 18?
31°C 24%
29°C 22%
30°C 22%
28°C 19%
YENİ
YENİ
18 Nis 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
10%
28°C
19%
29°C
22%
30°C
22%
31°C
24%
32°C
8%
33°C or higher
3%
31°C 24%
29°C 22%
30°C 22%
28°C 19%
YENİ
YENİ
18 Nis 2026
23°C or below
$657 Hac.
<1%
24°C
$1,180 Hac.
<1%
25°C
$628 Hac.
1%
26°C
$69 Hac.
1%
27°C
$346 Hac.
10%
28°C
$140 Hac.
19%
29°C
$29 Hac.
22%
30°C
$33 Hac.
22%
31°C
$426 Hac.
24%
32°C
$161 Hac.
8%
33°C or higher
$260 Hac.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration (CMA) project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 18 clustering around 28–31°C, reflecting trader sentiment in the closely matched leading outcomes. This stems from a strengthening subtropical ridge over southern China promoting warm advection, with recent observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport recording 30°C highs on April 15–16 amid light winds and partial cloud cover. Differentiating factors include potential thunderstorm activity introducing convective cooling and variable cloudiness, which could suppress peaks toward 28–29°C, versus clearer skies allowing 30–31°C; historical April averages hover near 26–27°C. New model runs expected daily from NOAA and ECMWF will refine these market-implied probabilities before resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Hacim
$3,823Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration (CMA) project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 18 clustering around 28–31°C, reflecting trader sentiment in the closely matched leading outcomes. This stems from a strengthening subtropical ridge over southern China promoting warm advection, with recent observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport recording 30°C highs on April 15–16 amid light winds and partial cloud cover. Differentiating factors include potential thunderstorm activity introducing convective cooling and variable cloudiness, which could suppress peaks toward 28–29°C, versus clearer skies allowing 30–31°C; historical April averages hover near 26–27°C. New model runs expected daily from NOAA and ECMWF will refine these market-implied probabilities before resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$3,823Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration (CMA) project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 18 clustering around 28–31°C, reflecting trader sentiment in the closely matched leading outcomes. This stems from a strengthening subtropical ridge over southern China promoting warm advection, with recent observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport recording 30°C highs on April 15–16 amid light winds and partial cloud cover. Differentiating factors include potential thunderstorm activity introducing convective cooling and variable cloudiness, which could suppress peaks toward 28–29°C, versus clearer skies allowing 30–31°C; historical April averages hover near 26–27°C. New model runs expected daily from NOAA and ECMWF will refine these market-implied probabilities before resolution based on official station measurements.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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