Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations as of 13:30 HKT on April 16 confirm a maximum air temperature of 30.1°C over the past 24 hours, with the current reading at 29.1°C amid sunny periods and a southerly airstream fostering hot conditions, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for a daily high of 30°C or higher. This aligns with HKO's morning forecast of hot daytime weather, building on an unseasonably warm March where monthly temperatures exceeded norms. Trader consensus reflects this verified data from the authoritative station, where resolution hinges on the official daily maximum. Realistic challenges—such as sudden afternoon showers or dense cloud cover increasing relative humidity and suppressing peaks—remain improbable given model consensus and clear skies, with final readings expected by evening.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 16?
30°C or higher 99.8%
29°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$278,519 Hac.
$278,519 Hac.
16 Nis 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
100%
30°C or higher 99.8%
29°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$278,519 Hac.
$278,519 Hac.
16 Nis 2026
20°C or below
$12,491 Hac.
<1%
21°C
$2,651 Hac.
<1%
22°C
$3,403 Hac.
<1%
23°C
$3,468 Hac.
<1%
24°C
$7,353 Hac.
<1%
25°C
$24,956 Hac.
<1%
26°C
$21,973 Hac.
<1%
27°C
$23,849 Hac.
<1%
28°C
$33,346 Hac.
<1%
29°C
$72,341 Hac.
<1%
30°C or higher
$72,706 Hac.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations as of 13:30 HKT on April 16 confirm a maximum air temperature of 30.1°C over the past 24 hours, with the current reading at 29.1°C amid sunny periods and a southerly airstream fostering hot conditions, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for a daily high of 30°C or higher. This aligns with HKO's morning forecast of hot daytime weather, building on an unseasonably warm March where monthly temperatures exceeded norms. Trader consensus reflects this verified data from the authoritative station, where resolution hinges on the official daily maximum. Realistic challenges—such as sudden afternoon showers or dense cloud cover increasing relative humidity and suppressing peaks—remain improbable given model consensus and clear skies, with final readings expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Hacim
$278,519Bitiş Tarihi
16 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations as of 13:30 HKT on April 16 confirm a maximum air temperature of 30.1°C over the past 24 hours, with the current reading at 29.1°C amid sunny periods and a southerly airstream fostering hot conditions, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for a daily high of 30°C or higher. This aligns with HKO's morning forecast of hot daytime weather, building on an unseasonably warm March where monthly temperatures exceeded norms. Trader consensus reflects this verified data from the authoritative station, where resolution hinges on the official daily maximum. Realistic challenges—such as sudden afternoon showers or dense cloud cover increasing relative humidity and suppressing peaks—remain improbable given model consensus and clear skies, with final readings expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$278,519Bitiş Tarihi
16 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations as of 13:30 HKT on April 16 confirm a maximum air temperature of 30.1°C over the past 24 hours, with the current reading at 29.1°C amid sunny periods and a southerly airstream fostering hot conditions, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for a daily high of 30°C or higher. This aligns with HKO's morning forecast of hot daytime weather, building on an unseasonably warm March where monthly temperatures exceeded norms. Trader consensus reflects this verified data from the authoritative station, where resolution hinges on the official daily maximum. Realistic challenges—such as sudden afternoon showers or dense cloud cover increasing relative humidity and suppressing peaks—remain improbable given model consensus and clear skies, with final readings expected by evening.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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