Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 27°C in Beijing today at 99.7% implied probability, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting sunny conditions with light southerly breezes that enhance daytime heating from morning lows near 15°C. Observational data from official monitoring stations show steady afternoon warming under high-pressure ridging, aligning closely with model consensus from international sources like ECMWF and GFS, which exhibit minimal spread around 27°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game agreement on above-normal April conditions, where historical highs average 20–22°C. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon cloud development suppressing solar insolation, gustier winds introducing cooler air masses, or urban heat effects pushing marginally to 28°C—final CMA bulletin expected tomorrow will resolve.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Beijing on April 18?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 18?
27°C 99.8%
30°C <1%
28°C <1%
26°C <1%
$114,711 Hac.
$114,711 Hac.
18 Nis 2026
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.8%
30°C <1%
28°C <1%
26°C <1%
$114,711 Hac.
$114,711 Hac.
18 Nis 2026
26°C
$17,600 Hac.
<1%
27°C
$19,508 Hac.
100%
28°C
$15,897 Hac.
<1%
29°C
$9,101 Hac.
<1%
30°C
$7,024 Hac.
<1%
31°C
$5,595 Hac.
<1%
32°C
$2,837 Hac.
<1%
33°C
$3,377 Hac.
<1%
34°C
$3,255 Hac.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,940 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 27°C in Beijing today at 99.7% implied probability, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting sunny conditions with light southerly breezes that enhance daytime heating from morning lows near 15°C. Observational data from official monitoring stations show steady afternoon warming under high-pressure ridging, aligning closely with model consensus from international sources like ECMWF and GFS, which exhibit minimal spread around 27°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game agreement on above-normal April conditions, where historical highs average 20–22°C. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon cloud development suppressing solar insolation, gustier winds introducing cooler air masses, or urban heat effects pushing marginally to 28°C—final CMA bulletin expected tomorrow will resolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ET
Hacim
$114,711Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 27°C in Beijing today at 99.7% implied probability, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting sunny conditions with light southerly breezes that enhance daytime heating from morning lows near 15°C. Observational data from official monitoring stations show steady afternoon warming under high-pressure ridging, aligning closely with model consensus from international sources like ECMWF and GFS, which exhibit minimal spread around 27°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game agreement on above-normal April conditions, where historical highs average 20–22°C. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon cloud development suppressing solar insolation, gustier winds introducing cooler air masses, or urban heat effects pushing marginally to 28°C—final CMA bulletin expected tomorrow will resolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$114,711Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 27°C in Beijing today at 99.7% implied probability, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting sunny conditions with light southerly breezes that enhance daytime heating from morning lows near 15°C. Observational data from official monitoring stations show steady afternoon warming under high-pressure ridging, aligning closely with model consensus from international sources like ECMWF and GFS, which exhibit minimal spread around 27°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game agreement on above-normal April conditions, where historical highs average 20–22°C. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon cloud development suppressing solar insolation, gustier winds introducing cooler air masses, or urban heat effects pushing marginally to 28°C—final CMA bulletin expected tomorrow will resolve.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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