Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 17°C (36%) for London on April 18, reflecting the latest UK Met Office forecasts projecting daytime maximums of 16-18°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. This positioning stems from a sharp cooldown after the record 26.6°C heat on April 8—the hottest early April day in 80 years—driven by colder northerly air masses, with recent observations on April 15-16 hovering around 14-16°C amid overcast conditions. Ensemble models like ECMWF and UKMO show tight agreement on mild spring norms (historical April average ~13°C), though cloud cover variability introduces uncertainty; watch for twice-daily Met Office updates ahead of resolution based on official Heathrow observations.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in London on April 18?
Highest temperature in London on April 18?
17°C 35%
18°C 26%
16°C 20%
19°C 10%
$12,089 Hac.
$12,089 Hac.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
7%
16°C
20%
17°C
35%
18°C
26%
19°C
10%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 35%
18°C 26%
16°C 20%
19°C 10%
$12,089 Hac.
$12,089 Hac.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
7%
16°C
20%
17°C
35%
18°C
26%
19°C
10%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 16, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 17°C (36%) for London on April 18, reflecting the latest UK Met Office forecasts projecting daytime maximums of 16-18°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. This positioning stems from a sharp cooldown after the record 26.6°C heat on April 8—the hottest early April day in 80 years—driven by colder northerly air masses, with recent observations on April 15-16 hovering around 14-16°C amid overcast conditions. Ensemble models like ECMWF and UKMO show tight agreement on mild spring norms (historical April average ~13°C), though cloud cover variability introduces uncertainty; watch for twice-daily Met Office updates ahead of resolution based on official Heathrow observations.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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