Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature near 27°C in Buenos Aires on April 18, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble means clustering around 26-28°C, up from April averages of 22°C due to a persistent positive temperature anomaly (+2°C monthly mean so far). Differentiating the closely matched outcomes are uncertainties in short-range forecasts, including variable cloud cover from passing mid-level troughs and potential southerly winds moderating highs, versus clearer skies allowing fuller diurnal heating. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance aligns with mild conditions, but new model runs every 6-12 hours and SMN's evening update could refine probabilities as resolution nears in 48 hours.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 18?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 18?
27°C 30%
26°C 24%
28°C 24%
29°C 13%
YENİ
YENİ
18 Nis 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
9%
25°C
12%
26°C
24%
27°C
30%
28°C
24%
29°C
13%
30°C or higher
5%
27°C 30%
26°C 24%
28°C 24%
29°C 13%
YENİ
YENİ
18 Nis 2026
20°C or below
$1,865 Hac.
<1%
21°C
$1,612 Hac.
1%
22°C
$681 Hac.
1%
23°C
$548 Hac.
2%
24°C
$41 Hac.
9%
25°C
$69 Hac.
12%
26°C
$17 Hac.
24%
27°C
$0 Hac.
30%
28°C
$85 Hac.
24%
29°C
$75 Hac.
13%
30°C or higher
$34 Hac.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature near 27°C in Buenos Aires on April 18, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble means clustering around 26-28°C, up from April averages of 22°C due to a persistent positive temperature anomaly (+2°C monthly mean so far). Differentiating the closely matched outcomes are uncertainties in short-range forecasts, including variable cloud cover from passing mid-level troughs and potential southerly winds moderating highs, versus clearer skies allowing fuller diurnal heating. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance aligns with mild conditions, but new model runs every 6-12 hours and SMN's evening update could refine probabilities as resolution nears in 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Hacim
$4,886Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature near 27°C in Buenos Aires on April 18, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble means clustering around 26-28°C, up from April averages of 22°C due to a persistent positive temperature anomaly (+2°C monthly mean so far). Differentiating the closely matched outcomes are uncertainties in short-range forecasts, including variable cloud cover from passing mid-level troughs and potential southerly winds moderating highs, versus clearer skies allowing fuller diurnal heating. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance aligns with mild conditions, but new model runs every 6-12 hours and SMN's evening update could refine probabilities as resolution nears in 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$4,886Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature near 27°C in Buenos Aires on April 18, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble means clustering around 26-28°C, up from April averages of 22°C due to a persistent positive temperature anomaly (+2°C monthly mean so far). Differentiating the closely matched outcomes are uncertainties in short-range forecasts, including variable cloud cover from passing mid-level troughs and potential southerly winds moderating highs, versus clearer skies allowing fuller diurnal heating. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance aligns with mild conditions, but new model runs every 6-12 hours and SMN's evening update could refine probabilities as resolution nears in 48 hours.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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