Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show a tight spread in 2-meter maximum temperatures for Istanbul on April 18, centering around 13-14°C with model means near 13.5°C, driving the closely matched trader sentiment where 14°C (33%) edges 13°C (31%). This reflects persistent northerly airflow advecting cooler Black Sea air masses southward, combined with partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating, as seen in recent Turkish State Meteorological Service updates. Compared to the April climatological average high of 16°C, current conditions favor subdued peaks, though urban heat island effects and potential afternoon clearing could push toward 15°C. Key uncertainty stems from evolving low-level shear and cloud cover timing; watch tomorrow's 12Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution via official MGM observations.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 18?
13°C 32%
14°C 31%
12°C 26%
15°C 21%
YENİ
YENİ
18 Nis 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
7%
12°C
26%
13°C
32%
14°C
27%
15°C
20%
16°C
9%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
13°C 32%
14°C 31%
12°C 26%
15°C 21%
YENİ
YENİ
18 Nis 2026
9°C or below
$135 Hac.
1%
10°C
$122 Hac.
2%
11°C
$167 Hac.
7%
12°C
$199 Hac.
26%
13°C
$43 Hac.
32%
14°C
$56 Hac.
27%
15°C
$38 Hac.
20%
16°C
$100 Hac.
9%
17°C
$132 Hac.
1%
18°C
$153 Hac.
1%
19°C or higher
$420 Hac.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show a tight spread in 2-meter maximum temperatures for Istanbul on April 18, centering around 13-14°C with model means near 13.5°C, driving the closely matched trader sentiment where 14°C (33%) edges 13°C (31%). This reflects persistent northerly airflow advecting cooler Black Sea air masses southward, combined with partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating, as seen in recent Turkish State Meteorological Service updates. Compared to the April climatological average high of 16°C, current conditions favor subdued peaks, though urban heat island effects and potential afternoon clearing could push toward 15°C. Key uncertainty stems from evolving low-level shear and cloud cover timing; watch tomorrow's 12Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution via official MGM observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 16, 2026, 1:50 AM ET
Hacim
$1,566Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 1:50 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show a tight spread in 2-meter maximum temperatures for Istanbul on April 18, centering around 13-14°C with model means near 13.5°C, driving the closely matched trader sentiment where 14°C (33%) edges 13°C (31%). This reflects persistent northerly airflow advecting cooler Black Sea air masses southward, combined with partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating, as seen in recent Turkish State Meteorological Service updates. Compared to the April climatological average high of 16°C, current conditions favor subdued peaks, though urban heat island effects and potential afternoon clearing could push toward 15°C. Key uncertainty stems from evolving low-level shear and cloud cover timing; watch tomorrow's 12Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution via official MGM observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$1,566Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 1:50 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show a tight spread in 2-meter maximum temperatures for Istanbul on April 18, centering around 13-14°C with model means near 13.5°C, driving the closely matched trader sentiment where 14°C (33%) edges 13°C (31%). This reflects persistent northerly airflow advecting cooler Black Sea air masses southward, combined with partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating, as seen in recent Turkish State Meteorological Service updates. Compared to the April climatological average high of 16°C, current conditions favor subdued peaks, though urban heat island effects and potential afternoon clearing could push toward 15°C. Key uncertainty stems from evolving low-level shear and cloud cover timing; watch tomorrow's 12Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution via official MGM observations.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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