Trader consensus heavily favors 18°C (96.5% implied probability) for London's highest temperature on April 16, driven by the Met Office's latest hourly forecasts projecting a midday peak near this mark at London City Airport—the market's resolution site via Wunderground data—amid light westerly winds and intermittent sunny spells fostering surface solar heating after morning clouds. Current observations show temperatures rising from around 12°C, consistent with model runs indicating brief clearings despite shower risks. This positioning reflects aggregated skin-in-the-game assessment outweighing slightly cooler general London projections around 16–17°C. Realistic challenges include persistent blustery showers or thickening cloud cover capping the max at 17°C, with afternoon updates from monitoring stations pivotal before evening cooldown.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi16 Nisan'da Londra'daki en yüksek sıcaklık?
16 Nisan'da Londra'daki en yüksek sıcaklık?
18°C 94.5%
19°C 2.7%
22°C veya daha yüksek 1.1%
20°C <1%
$168,907 Hac.
$168,907 Hac.
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
95%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C veya daha yüksek
1%
18°C 94.5%
19°C 2.7%
22°C veya daha yüksek 1.1%
20°C <1%
$168,907 Hac.
$168,907 Hac.
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
95%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C veya daha yüksek
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 18°C (96.5% implied probability) for London's highest temperature on April 16, driven by the Met Office's latest hourly forecasts projecting a midday peak near this mark at London City Airport—the market's resolution site via Wunderground data—amid light westerly winds and intermittent sunny spells fostering surface solar heating after morning clouds. Current observations show temperatures rising from around 12°C, consistent with model runs indicating brief clearings despite shower risks. This positioning reflects aggregated skin-in-the-game assessment outweighing slightly cooler general London projections around 16–17°C. Realistic challenges include persistent blustery showers or thickening cloud cover capping the max at 17°C, with afternoon updates from monitoring stations pivotal before evening cooldown.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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