Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around a 27–29°C high in Wuhan on April 18, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models, which cluster daytime peaks in this range under anticipated sunny skies and light winds. Recent rainy conditions capped April 15 highs at 21°C, but a building high-pressure ridge is ushering clearer weather and southerly flow advecting warmer air, aligning with mid-April climatological norms of 23–24°C while allowing potential for urban heat island amplification. Differentiating factors include model spreads of 1–2°C due to variable afternoon cloudiness and peak solar insolation timing; new 12z runs expected April 16 could refine odds ahead of resolution via official station data.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 18?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 18?
28°C 29%
29°C 25%
27°C 20%
26°C 15%
YENİ
YENİ
18 Nis 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
15%
27°C
20%
28°C
29%
29°C
25%
30°C
10%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 29%
29°C 25%
27°C 20%
26°C 15%
YENİ
YENİ
18 Nis 2026
23°C or below
$220 Hac.
1%
24°C
$441 Hac.
2%
25°C
$22 Hac.
4%
26°C
$0 Hac.
15%
27°C
$20 Hac.
20%
28°C
$38 Hac.
29%
29°C
$27 Hac.
25%
30°C
$5 Hac.
10%
31°C
$66 Hac.
3%
32°C
$140 Hac.
1%
33°C or higher
$114 Hac.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around a 27–29°C high in Wuhan on April 18, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models, which cluster daytime peaks in this range under anticipated sunny skies and light winds. Recent rainy conditions capped April 15 highs at 21°C, but a building high-pressure ridge is ushering clearer weather and southerly flow advecting warmer air, aligning with mid-April climatological norms of 23–24°C while allowing potential for urban heat island amplification. Differentiating factors include model spreads of 1–2°C due to variable afternoon cloudiness and peak solar insolation timing; new 12z runs expected April 16 could refine odds ahead of resolution via official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
Hacim
$1,094Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around a 27–29°C high in Wuhan on April 18, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models, which cluster daytime peaks in this range under anticipated sunny skies and light winds. Recent rainy conditions capped April 15 highs at 21°C, but a building high-pressure ridge is ushering clearer weather and southerly flow advecting warmer air, aligning with mid-April climatological norms of 23–24°C while allowing potential for urban heat island amplification. Differentiating factors include model spreads of 1–2°C due to variable afternoon cloudiness and peak solar insolation timing; new 12z runs expected April 16 could refine odds ahead of resolution via official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$1,094Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around a 27–29°C high in Wuhan on April 18, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models, which cluster daytime peaks in this range under anticipated sunny skies and light winds. Recent rainy conditions capped April 15 highs at 21°C, but a building high-pressure ridge is ushering clearer weather and southerly flow advecting warmer air, aligning with mid-April climatological norms of 23–24°C while allowing potential for urban heat island amplification. Differentiating factors include model spreads of 1–2°C due to variable afternoon cloudiness and peak solar insolation timing; new 12z runs expected April 16 could refine odds ahead of resolution via official station data.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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