Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of major forecast models around a 20-21°C high for Paris on April 18, driven by Météo-France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensembles showing a high-pressure ridge promoting mild spring conditions with partly cloudy skies. The slight edge to 21°C stems from recent model runs emphasizing higher insolation from thinning clouds midday, while 20°C gains from scenarios with persistent light stratus cover reducing solar heating; 22°C and below hinge on wind shear or unexpected shower development. Above the April climatological average of 15-16°C, this uncertainty arises from boundary layer variability and timing of diurnal heating at Charles de Gaulle Airport, the resolution station. Evening updates from European models could refine odds before observations begin.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi18 Nisan'da Paris'te en yüksek sıcaklık?
18 Nisan'da Paris'te en yüksek sıcaklık?
21°C 29%
20°C 28%
19°C 19%
22°C 16%
$35,597 Hac.
$35,597 Hac.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
8%
19°C
19%
20°C
28%
21°C
29%
22°C
16%
23°C or higher
5%
21°C 29%
20°C 28%
19°C 19%
22°C 16%
$35,597 Hac.
$35,597 Hac.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
8%
19°C
19%
20°C
28%
21°C
29%
22°C
16%
23°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 16, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of major forecast models around a 20-21°C high for Paris on April 18, driven by Météo-France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensembles showing a high-pressure ridge promoting mild spring conditions with partly cloudy skies. The slight edge to 21°C stems from recent model runs emphasizing higher insolation from thinning clouds midday, while 20°C gains from scenarios with persistent light stratus cover reducing solar heating; 22°C and below hinge on wind shear or unexpected shower development. Above the April climatological average of 15-16°C, this uncertainty arises from boundary layer variability and timing of diurnal heating at Charles de Gaulle Airport, the resolution station. Evening updates from European models could refine odds before observations begin.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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