Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 32–34°C for Lagos's highest temperature on April 19, reflecting a 1–2°C spread across global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles, where differences hinge on afternoon convective activity timing. NiMet's latest high-impact bulletin for April 17–19 warns of moderate thunderstorms across southern Nigeria, including Lagos, which could cap peaks through increased cloud cover and brief showers amid 87% mostly cloudy conditions typical for late April's rainy season transition. Historical April maxima average 32°C (90°F), rarely exceeding 34°C, with sea breezes and urban heat island effects adding variability; new NiMet outlooks and model runs expected daily may sharpen resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Lagos on April 19?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 19?
34°C 28%
33°C 23%
32°C 20%
30°C 13%
YENİ
YENİ
19 Nis 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
13%
31°C
11%
32°C
20%
33°C
23%
34°C
28%
35°C
13%
36°C
8%
37°C or higher
5%
34°C 28%
33°C 23%
32°C 20%
30°C 13%
YENİ
YENİ
19 Nis 2026
27°C or below
$376 Hac.
1%
28°C
$44 Hac.
2%
29°C
$34 Hac.
6%
30°C
$34 Hac.
13%
31°C
$36 Hac.
11%
32°C
$34 Hac.
20%
33°C
$39 Hac.
23%
34°C
$34 Hac.
28%
35°C
$40 Hac.
13%
36°C
$39 Hac.
8%
37°C or higher
$825 Hac.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 32–34°C for Lagos's highest temperature on April 19, reflecting a 1–2°C spread across global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles, where differences hinge on afternoon convective activity timing. NiMet's latest high-impact bulletin for April 17–19 warns of moderate thunderstorms across southern Nigeria, including Lagos, which could cap peaks through increased cloud cover and brief showers amid 87% mostly cloudy conditions typical for late April's rainy season transition. Historical April maxima average 32°C (90°F), rarely exceeding 34°C, with sea breezes and urban heat island effects adding variability; new NiMet outlooks and model runs expected daily may sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 17, 2026, 12:50 AM ET
Hacim
$1,530Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 17, 2026, 12:50 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 32–34°C for Lagos's highest temperature on April 19, reflecting a 1–2°C spread across global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles, where differences hinge on afternoon convective activity timing. NiMet's latest high-impact bulletin for April 17–19 warns of moderate thunderstorms across southern Nigeria, including Lagos, which could cap peaks through increased cloud cover and brief showers amid 87% mostly cloudy conditions typical for late April's rainy season transition. Historical April maxima average 32°C (90°F), rarely exceeding 34°C, with sea breezes and urban heat island effects adding variability; new NiMet outlooks and model runs expected daily may sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$1,530Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 17, 2026, 12:50 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 32–34°C for Lagos's highest temperature on April 19, reflecting a 1–2°C spread across global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles, where differences hinge on afternoon convective activity timing. NiMet's latest high-impact bulletin for April 17–19 warns of moderate thunderstorms across southern Nigeria, including Lagos, which could cap peaks through increased cloud cover and brief showers amid 87% mostly cloudy conditions typical for late April's rainy season transition. Historical April maxima average 32°C (90°F), rarely exceeding 34°C, with sea breezes and urban heat island effects adding variability; new NiMet outlooks and model runs expected daily may sharpen resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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