Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 19, with implied probabilities evenly spread across outcomes amid divergent model outputs—global ensembles like those informing AccuWeather projecting peaks near 33°C under partly sunny skies and light southerly winds, while local China Meteorological Administration-linked reports suggest cooler 28°C maxima due to lingering cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. Recent rainy conditions on April 17 (actual highs around 26-28°C) have cooled the subtropical region above seasonal norms, but potential ridging from the Western Pacific high could boost daytime heating if convection clears; key differentiators include cloud fraction suppressing solar insolation versus dry air advection enabling 35°C+ spikes. New GFS and ECMWF runs by April 18 morning will refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on Guangzhou Baiyun Airport observations.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Guangzhou on April 19?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 19?
32°C 23%
31°C 23%
28°C 22%
29°C 22%
YENİ
YENİ
19 Nis 2026
27°C or below
8%
28°C
22%
29°C
22%
30°C
22%
31°C
23%
32°C
23%
33°C
21%
34°C
19%
35°C
7%
36°C
12%
37°C or higher
15%
32°C 23%
31°C 23%
28°C 22%
29°C 22%
YENİ
YENİ
19 Nis 2026
27°C or below
$10 Hac.
8%
28°C
$0 Hac.
22%
29°C
$0 Hac.
22%
30°C
$0 Hac.
22%
31°C
$0 Hac.
23%
32°C
$0 Hac.
23%
33°C
$6 Hac.
21%
34°C
$30 Hac.
19%
35°C
$19 Hac.
7%
36°C
$10 Hac.
12%
37°C or higher
$174 Hac.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 19, with implied probabilities evenly spread across outcomes amid divergent model outputs—global ensembles like those informing AccuWeather projecting peaks near 33°C under partly sunny skies and light southerly winds, while local China Meteorological Administration-linked reports suggest cooler 28°C maxima due to lingering cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. Recent rainy conditions on April 17 (actual highs around 26-28°C) have cooled the subtropical region above seasonal norms, but potential ridging from the Western Pacific high could boost daytime heating if convection clears; key differentiators include cloud fraction suppressing solar insolation versus dry air advection enabling 35°C+ spikes. New GFS and ECMWF runs by April 18 morning will refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on Guangzhou Baiyun Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Hacim
$176Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 19, with implied probabilities evenly spread across outcomes amid divergent model outputs—global ensembles like those informing AccuWeather projecting peaks near 33°C under partly sunny skies and light southerly winds, while local China Meteorological Administration-linked reports suggest cooler 28°C maxima due to lingering cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. Recent rainy conditions on April 17 (actual highs around 26-28°C) have cooled the subtropical region above seasonal norms, but potential ridging from the Western Pacific high could boost daytime heating if convection clears; key differentiators include cloud fraction suppressing solar insolation versus dry air advection enabling 35°C+ spikes. New GFS and ECMWF runs by April 18 morning will refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on Guangzhou Baiyun Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$176Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 19, with implied probabilities evenly spread across outcomes amid divergent model outputs—global ensembles like those informing AccuWeather projecting peaks near 33°C under partly sunny skies and light southerly winds, while local China Meteorological Administration-linked reports suggest cooler 28°C maxima due to lingering cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. Recent rainy conditions on April 17 (actual highs around 26-28°C) have cooled the subtropical region above seasonal norms, but potential ridging from the Western Pacific high could boost daytime heating if convection clears; key differentiators include cloud fraction suppressing solar insolation versus dry air advection enabling 35°C+ spikes. New GFS and ECMWF runs by April 18 morning will refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on Guangzhou Baiyun Airport observations.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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