Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 19, with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting maxima of 26–28°C amid dry-season conditions and high-elevation cooling at 2,240 meters. The slight edge to 28°C or higher (28%) over 27°C (26%) stems from recent SMN updates showing a warming trend—up to 27–29°C in latest regional bulletins—and urban heat island effects amplifying diurnal heating, while 25°C (19%) accounts for potential afternoon cloud cover or northerly winds moderating peaks. Historical April averages hover at 26°C, but low precipitation favors warmer outcomes; watch SMN's daily Valle de México releases for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 19?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 19?
28°C or higher 28%
27°C 26%
25°C 19%
26°C 13%
YENİ
YENİ
19 Nis 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C
12%
25°C
19%
26°C
13%
27°C
26%
28°C or higher
28%
28°C or higher 28%
27°C 26%
25°C 19%
26°C 13%
YENİ
YENİ
19 Nis 2026
18°C or below
$657 Hac.
<1%
19°C
$624 Hac.
<1%
20°C
$438 Hac.
1%
21°C
$331 Hac.
1%
22°C
$60 Hac.
5%
23°C
$1,234 Hac.
5%
24°C
$255 Hac.
12%
25°C
$55 Hac.
19%
26°C
$502 Hac.
13%
27°C
$33 Hac.
26%
28°C or higher
$46 Hac.
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 19, with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting maxima of 26–28°C amid dry-season conditions and high-elevation cooling at 2,240 meters. The slight edge to 28°C or higher (28%) over 27°C (26%) stems from recent SMN updates showing a warming trend—up to 27–29°C in latest regional bulletins—and urban heat island effects amplifying diurnal heating, while 25°C (19%) accounts for potential afternoon cloud cover or northerly winds moderating peaks. Historical April averages hover at 26°C, but low precipitation favors warmer outcomes; watch SMN's daily Valle de México releases for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 17, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Hacim
$4,227Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 17, 2026, 12:38 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 19, with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting maxima of 26–28°C amid dry-season conditions and high-elevation cooling at 2,240 meters. The slight edge to 28°C or higher (28%) over 27°C (26%) stems from recent SMN updates showing a warming trend—up to 27–29°C in latest regional bulletins—and urban heat island effects amplifying diurnal heating, while 25°C (19%) accounts for potential afternoon cloud cover or northerly winds moderating peaks. Historical April averages hover at 26°C, but low precipitation favors warmer outcomes; watch SMN's daily Valle de México releases for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$4,227Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 17, 2026, 12:38 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 19, with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting maxima of 26–28°C amid dry-season conditions and high-elevation cooling at 2,240 meters. The slight edge to 28°C or higher (28%) over 27°C (26%) stems from recent SMN updates showing a warming trend—up to 27–29°C in latest regional bulletins—and urban heat island effects amplifying diurnal heating, while 25°C (19%) accounts for potential afternoon cloud cover or northerly winds moderating peaks. Historical April averages hover at 26°C, but low precipitation favors warmer outcomes; watch SMN's daily Valle de México releases for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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