Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and China Meteorological Administration (CMA) converge on a daytime high near 29-30°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 19, driving trader consensus with implied probabilities of 21.5-27.5% for 28-30°C outcomes amid tight competition. This reflects a sharp warming trend from mid-April's 20-22°C highs, fueled by a building subtropical ridge promoting sunnier skies and enhanced solar heating above the late-April climatological average of 24°C. Differentiating factors include model spreads on afternoon cloud cover and isolated showers, which could cap peaks at 28°C, versus clearer conditions pushing toward 31-33°C; next CMA updates and fresh model runs on April 18 will clarify before airport observations resolve the market.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 19?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 19?
29°C 24%
28°C 21%
27°C 20%
30°C 19%
25°C or below
3%
26°C
16%
27°C
20%
28°C
21%
29°C
24%
30°C
28%
31°C
27%
32°C
18%
33°C
10%
34°C
10%
35°C or higher
2%
29°C 24%
28°C 21%
27°C 20%
30°C 19%
25°C or below
3%
26°C
16%
27°C
20%
28°C
21%
29°C
24%
30°C
28%
31°C
27%
32°C
18%
33°C
10%
34°C
10%
35°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and China Meteorological Administration (CMA) converge on a daytime high near 29-30°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 19, driving trader consensus with implied probabilities of 21.5-27.5% for 28-30°C outcomes amid tight competition. This reflects a sharp warming trend from mid-April's 20-22°C highs, fueled by a building subtropical ridge promoting sunnier skies and enhanced solar heating above the late-April climatological average of 24°C. Differentiating factors include model spreads on afternoon cloud cover and isolated showers, which could cap peaks at 28°C, versus clearer conditions pushing toward 31-33°C; next CMA updates and fresh model runs on April 18 will clarify before airport observations resolve the market.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular