Latest forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Moscow's highest temperature on April 19 clustering around 5-6°C, driving trader consensus with 29.5% implied probability for 6°C and 25% for 5°C amid a recent cooling trend. Northerly winds at 20 km/h usher cooler continental air, while 90% precipitation odds from persistent cloud cover and afternoon rain/drizzle suppress daytime heating, as seen in AccuWeather's 6°C high projection. This follows warmer April 17 highs near 13°C dropping to 10°C on April 18 due to an advancing front. Model spreads reflect uncertainty in cloud persistence and frontal timing; new runs expected April 18 could refine odds before resolution via official station data. Historical April averages near 11°C underscore spring variability.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Moscow on April 19?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 19?
6°C 30%
5°C 26%
8°C 14%
4°C 11%
YENİ
YENİ
19 Nis 2026
-1°C or below
1%
0°C
1%
1°C
1%
2°C
1%
3°C
3%
4°C
11%
5°C
26%
6°C
30%
7°C
10%
8°C
14%
9°C or higher
10%
6°C 30%
5°C 26%
8°C 14%
4°C 11%
YENİ
YENİ
19 Nis 2026
-1°C or below
$370 Hac.
1%
0°C
$286 Hac.
1%
1°C
$267 Hac.
1%
2°C
$191 Hac.
1%
3°C
$303 Hac.
3%
4°C
$7 Hac.
11%
5°C
$8 Hac.
26%
6°C
$9 Hac.
30%
7°C
$267 Hac.
10%
8°C
$25 Hac.
14%
9°C or higher
$163 Hac.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Moscow's highest temperature on April 19 clustering around 5-6°C, driving trader consensus with 29.5% implied probability for 6°C and 25% for 5°C amid a recent cooling trend. Northerly winds at 20 km/h usher cooler continental air, while 90% precipitation odds from persistent cloud cover and afternoon rain/drizzle suppress daytime heating, as seen in AccuWeather's 6°C high projection. This follows warmer April 17 highs near 13°C dropping to 10°C on April 18 due to an advancing front. Model spreads reflect uncertainty in cloud persistence and frontal timing; new runs expected April 18 could refine odds before resolution via official station data. Historical April averages near 11°C underscore spring variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Hacim
$1,896Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Moscow's highest temperature on April 19 clustering around 5-6°C, driving trader consensus with 29.5% implied probability for 6°C and 25% for 5°C amid a recent cooling trend. Northerly winds at 20 km/h usher cooler continental air, while 90% precipitation odds from persistent cloud cover and afternoon rain/drizzle suppress daytime heating, as seen in AccuWeather's 6°C high projection. This follows warmer April 17 highs near 13°C dropping to 10°C on April 18 due to an advancing front. Model spreads reflect uncertainty in cloud persistence and frontal timing; new runs expected April 18 could refine odds before resolution via official station data. Historical April averages near 11°C underscore spring variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$1,896Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Moscow's highest temperature on April 19 clustering around 5-6°C, driving trader consensus with 29.5% implied probability for 6°C and 25% for 5°C amid a recent cooling trend. Northerly winds at 20 km/h usher cooler continental air, while 90% precipitation odds from persistent cloud cover and afternoon rain/drizzle suppress daytime heating, as seen in AccuWeather's 6°C high projection. This follows warmer April 17 highs near 13°C dropping to 10°C on April 18 due to an advancing front. Model spreads reflect uncertainty in cloud persistence and frontal timing; new runs expected April 18 could refine odds before resolution via official station data. Historical April averages near 11°C underscore spring variability.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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