Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 78-81°F ranges for New York City's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF, which project highs near 79-80°F amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over the Northeast. This setup drives warm southerly flow, advecting unseasonably mild air masses—well above the typical April mid-60s climatology at Central Park—while gusty southwest winds enhance mixing and daytime heating. Close odds between 78-79°F (30.5%) and 80-81°F (25.5%) stem from minor model divergences on afternoon cloud cover and potential sea-breeze moderation near coastal NYC, with lower probabilities for extremes due to historical rarity beyond 85°F this early. Watch NWS updates and real-time Central Park observations for resolution shifts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi17 Nisan'da New York'ta en yüksek sıcaklık?
17 Nisan'da New York'ta en yüksek sıcaklık?
78-79°F 31%
80-81°F 26%
77°F veya altında 20%
82-83°F 16%
YENİ
$18,148 Hac.
YENİ
$18,148 Hac.
17 Nis 2026
77°F veya altında
20%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F veya daha yüksek
<1%
78-79°F 31%
80-81°F 26%
77°F veya altında 20%
82-83°F 16%
YENİ
$18,148 Hac.
YENİ
$18,148 Hac.
17 Nis 2026
77°F veya altında
$2,924 Hac.
20%
78-79°F
$1,640 Hac.
31%
80-81°F
$1,043 Hac.
26%
82-83°F
$841 Hac.
16%
84-85°F
$857 Hac.
9%
86-87°F
$1,291 Hac.
2%
88-89°F
$3,936 Hac.
1%
90-91°F
$1,189 Hac.
<1%
92-93°F
$1,007 Hac.
<1%
94-95°F
$1,178 Hac.
<1%
96°F veya daha yüksek
$2,251 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 78-81°F ranges for New York City's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF, which project highs near 79-80°F amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over the Northeast. This setup drives warm southerly flow, advecting unseasonably mild air masses—well above the typical April mid-60s climatology at Central Park—while gusty southwest winds enhance mixing and daytime heating. Close odds between 78-79°F (30.5%) and 80-81°F (25.5%) stem from minor model divergences on afternoon cloud cover and potential sea-breeze moderation near coastal NYC, with lower probabilities for extremes due to historical rarity beyond 85°F this early. Watch NWS updates and real-time Central Park observations for resolution shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Hacim
$18,148Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 78-81°F ranges for New York City's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF, which project highs near 79-80°F amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over the Northeast. This setup drives warm southerly flow, advecting unseasonably mild air masses—well above the typical April mid-60s climatology at Central Park—while gusty southwest winds enhance mixing and daytime heating. Close odds between 78-79°F (30.5%) and 80-81°F (25.5%) stem from minor model divergences on afternoon cloud cover and potential sea-breeze moderation near coastal NYC, with lower probabilities for extremes due to historical rarity beyond 85°F this early. Watch NWS updates and real-time Central Park observations for resolution shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$18,148Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 78-81°F ranges for New York City's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF, which project highs near 79-80°F amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over the Northeast. This setup drives warm southerly flow, advecting unseasonably mild air masses—well above the typical April mid-60s climatology at Central Park—while gusty southwest winds enhance mixing and daytime heating. Close odds between 78-79°F (30.5%) and 80-81°F (25.5%) stem from minor model divergences on afternoon cloud cover and potential sea-breeze moderation near coastal NYC, with lower probabilities for extremes due to historical rarity beyond 85°F this early. Watch NWS updates and real-time Central Park observations for resolution shifts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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