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15 Nisan'da Hong Kong'daki en yüksek sıcaklık?

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15 Nisan'da Hong Kong'daki en yüksek sıcaklık?

28°C 100.0%

26°C <1%

20°C veya altı <1%

21°C <1%

Polymarket

$373,219 Hac.

28°C 100.0%

26°C <1%

20°C veya altı <1%

21°C <1%

Polymarket

$373,219 Hac.

20°C veya altı

$6,020 Hac.

<1%

21°C

$2,045 Hac.

<1%

22°C

$2,116 Hac.

<1%

23°C

$3,060 Hac.

<1%

24°C

$2,556 Hac.

<1%

25°C

$9,062 Hac.

<1%

26°C

$32,230 Hac.

<1%

27°C

$51,544 Hac.

<1%

28°C

$145,003 Hac.

100%

29°C

$61,664 Hac.

<1%

30°C veya daha yüksek

$57,917 Hac.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's verified observational data confirms the highest temperature on April 15, 2026, peaked at 28°C amid a southerly airstream bringing warm, humid air and sunny intervals, aligning with seasonal above-normal forecasts and recent multi-model consensus projecting mid-to-upper 20s Celsius highs. This measurement, taken from automatic weather stations including the Observatory headquarters, reflects typical April climatology where daily maxima average around 26–28°C, bolstered by reduced cloud cover and light winds. Trader sentiment at 100% implied probability underscores the reliability of HKO's real-time telemetry, with resolution imminent; only an improbable data revision from final quality control—such as sensor recalibration—could challenge it, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare below 0.1°C.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$373,219
Bitiş Tarihi
15 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 13, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Sonuç önerildi: Hayır

İtiraz penceresi

Kesin

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's verified observational data confirms the highest temperature on April 15, 2026, peaked at 28°C amid a southerly airstream bringing warm, humid air and sunny intervals, aligning with seasonal above-normal forecasts and recent multi-model consensus projecting mid-to-upper 20s Celsius highs. This measurement, taken from automatic weather stations including the Observatory headquarters, reflects typical April climatology where daily maxima average around 26–28°C, bolstered by reduced cloud cover and light winds. Trader sentiment at 100% implied probability underscores the reliability of HKO's real-time telemetry, with resolution imminent; only an improbable data revision from final quality control—such as sensor recalibration—could challenge it, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare below 0.1°C.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$373,219
Bitiş Tarihi
15 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 13, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Sonuç önerildi: Hayır

İtiraz penceresi

Kesin

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"15 Nisan'da Hong Kong'daki en yüksek sıcaklık?", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 11 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 100% ile "28°C", ardından 0% ile "20°C veya altı" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 100¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 100% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "15 Nisan'da Hong Kong'daki en yüksek sıcaklık?" toplam $373.2K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Apr 13, 2026 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"15 Nisan'da Hong Kong'daki en yüksek sıcaklık?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 11 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"15 Nisan'da Hong Kong'daki en yüksek sıcaklık?" için mevcut favori 100% ile "28°C"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 100% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 0% ile "20°C veya altı"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"15 Nisan'da Hong Kong'daki en yüksek sıcaklık?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.