Official observations from Spain's State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm Madrid's highest temperature on April 15, 2026, peaked at 24°C, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This outcome reflects mild spring conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge, consistent with European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) model runs predicting highs of 23–25°C amid light southerly winds and ample sunshine. Seasonal climatology supports such temperatures, with April averages around 18–20°C but frequent warm outliers. Realistic challenges include rare post-preliminary data revisions for sensor calibration errors, though finalized AEMET reports typically affirm initial readings; no such issues have surfaced in the past 24 hours.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi15 Nisan'da Madrid'deki en yüksek sıcaklık?
15 Nisan'da Madrid'deki en yüksek sıcaklık?
24°C 100.0%
18°C veya altında <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$118,380 Hac.
$118,380 Hac.
15 Nis 2026
18°C veya altında
Hayır
19°C
Hayır
20°C
Hayır
21°C
Hayır
22°C
Hayır
23°C
Hayır
24°C
Evet
25°C
Hayır
26°C
Hayır
27°C
Hayır
28°C veya daha yüksek
Hayır
24°C 100.0%
18°C veya altında <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$118,380 Hac.
$118,380 Hac.
15 Nis 2026
18°C veya altında
$3,237 Hac.
Hayır
19°C
$2,313 Hac.
Hayır
20°C
$1,608 Hac.
Hayır
21°C
$7,780 Hac.
Hayır
22°C
$31,422 Hac.
Hayır
23°C
$13,017 Hac.
Hayır
24°C
$18,512 Hac.
Evet
25°C
$12,700 Hac.
Hayır
26°C
$13,883 Hac.
Hayır
27°C
$8,591 Hac.
Hayır
28°C veya daha yüksek
$5,317 Hac.
Hayır
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Spain's State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm Madrid's highest temperature on April 15, 2026, peaked at 24°C, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This outcome reflects mild spring conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge, consistent with European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) model runs predicting highs of 23–25°C amid light southerly winds and ample sunshine. Seasonal climatology supports such temperatures, with April averages around 18–20°C but frequent warm outliers. Realistic challenges include rare post-preliminary data revisions for sensor calibration errors, though finalized AEMET reports typically affirm initial readings; no such issues have surfaced in the past 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Hacim
$118,380Bitiş Tarihi
15 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sonuç önerildi: Hayır
İtiraz yok
Kesin sonuç: Hayır
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Spain's State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm Madrid's highest temperature on April 15, 2026, peaked at 24°C, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This outcome reflects mild spring conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge, consistent with European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) model runs predicting highs of 23–25°C amid light southerly winds and ample sunshine. Seasonal climatology supports such temperatures, with April averages around 18–20°C but frequent warm outliers. Realistic challenges include rare post-preliminary data revisions for sensor calibration errors, though finalized AEMET reports typically affirm initial readings; no such issues have surfaced in the past 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$118,380Bitiş Tarihi
15 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sonuç önerildi: Hayır
İtiraz yok
Kesin sonuç: Hayır
Official observations from Spain's State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm Madrid's highest temperature on April 15, 2026, peaked at 24°C, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This outcome reflects mild spring conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge, consistent with European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) model runs predicting highs of 23–25°C amid light southerly winds and ample sunshine. Seasonal climatology supports such temperatures, with April averages around 18–20°C but frequent warm outliers. Realistic challenges include rare post-preliminary data revisions for sensor calibration errors, though finalized AEMET reports typically affirm initial readings; no such issues have surfaced in the past 24 hours.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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