Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Warsaw's highest temperature on April 19, with IMGW's latest weekly outlook projecting 13–17°C maxima amid moderate cloud cover and weak easterly winds in central Poland, while ECMWF and GFS ensembles diverge by 1–2°C due to varying afternoon insolation from potential cloud breaks. This model spread, combined with typical spring synoptic patterns favoring diurnal heating under a high-pressure ridge, elevates implied probabilities for 17–19°C outcomes above historical mid-April norms of around 14°C. Overnight updates from IMGW and global models could refine peak heating estimates before official measurements from the Institute's stations.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 19?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 19?
18°C 29%
17°C 27%
19°C 27%
21°C or higher 11%
YENİ
YENİ
19 Nis 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
8%
17°C
27%
18°C
29%
19°C
27%
20°C
11%
21°C or higher
11%
18°C 29%
17°C 27%
19°C 27%
21°C or higher 11%
YENİ
YENİ
19 Nis 2026
11°C or below
$375 Hac.
1%
12°C
$265 Hac.
1%
13°C
$240 Hac.
1%
14°C
$188 Hac.
2%
15°C
$151 Hac.
5%
16°C
$49 Hac.
8%
17°C
$6 Hac.
27%
18°C
$4 Hac.
29%
19°C
$33 Hac.
27%
20°C
$0 Hac.
11%
21°C or higher
$2 Hac.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Warsaw's highest temperature on April 19, with IMGW's latest weekly outlook projecting 13–17°C maxima amid moderate cloud cover and weak easterly winds in central Poland, while ECMWF and GFS ensembles diverge by 1–2°C due to varying afternoon insolation from potential cloud breaks. This model spread, combined with typical spring synoptic patterns favoring diurnal heating under a high-pressure ridge, elevates implied probabilities for 17–19°C outcomes above historical mid-April norms of around 14°C. Overnight updates from IMGW and global models could refine peak heating estimates before official measurements from the Institute's stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 17, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Hacim
$1,314Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 17, 2026, 12:43 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Warsaw's highest temperature on April 19, with IMGW's latest weekly outlook projecting 13–17°C maxima amid moderate cloud cover and weak easterly winds in central Poland, while ECMWF and GFS ensembles diverge by 1–2°C due to varying afternoon insolation from potential cloud breaks. This model spread, combined with typical spring synoptic patterns favoring diurnal heating under a high-pressure ridge, elevates implied probabilities for 17–19°C outcomes above historical mid-April norms of around 14°C. Overnight updates from IMGW and global models could refine peak heating estimates before official measurements from the Institute's stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$1,314Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 17, 2026, 12:43 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Warsaw's highest temperature on April 19, with IMGW's latest weekly outlook projecting 13–17°C maxima amid moderate cloud cover and weak easterly winds in central Poland, while ECMWF and GFS ensembles diverge by 1–2°C due to varying afternoon insolation from potential cloud breaks. This model spread, combined with typical spring synoptic patterns favoring diurnal heating under a high-pressure ridge, elevates implied probabilities for 17–19°C outcomes above historical mid-April norms of around 14°C. Overnight updates from IMGW and global models could refine peak heating estimates before official measurements from the Institute's stations.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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